1. What is the sense of disk?
Disk sense is not intuition, not the sixth sense. If you make orders based on feeling, it is subjective and emotional trading, which is blind. Disk sense is a trading rule or market phenomenon that has not been clearly stated or is not easy to summarize. , and this rule or phenomenon is a framework that you unconsciously extracted in long-term short-term trading. Once this signal appears, you will know what to do immediately. It is the brain that instantly processes a series of complex and subtle information and draws relatively reliable conclusions Ability, no need to think, this is the sense of disk.
We know that the traditional thinking process is phenomenon-logical reasoning-conclusion, but for the rapid intraday trend, you do not have enough time for logical reasoning, and short-term opportunities are fleeting, so to win short-term within the day, you need to have a faster Reaction speed, the shorter the cycle, the faster the reaction speed requirement, which requires you to have the ability to make judgments in an instant. If you carry out logical thinking and comprehensive analysis in the middle, then the opportunity may be missed, and the sense of disk is to save the middle From the phenomenon-conclusion, to see the trend, you can make a judgment immediately. But this kind of phenomenon is a law that you have concluded in a lot of actual combat. After a certain phenomenon appears, you will instantly understand how the market will go next with a high probability, and there is no need for logical reasoning and analysis in the middle. So in essence, this phenomenon is your entry signal and exit signal, which is just a part of your trading system, but there is no clear rule in words or words.
The short-term trend within the day does not have enough information reserves and enough time to think, and it is impossible to use scientific logic to judge. Therefore, the short-term trend requires traders to respond quickly to changes in the market. Therefore, in the short term, The shorter the order time, the more important the sense of the market is in trading. In the trading process, those with a good sense of the market can draw more reliable conclusions without going through a rigorous logical process, so they can often quickly capture market fluctuations, not only ahead of many people, but also ahead of various technical indicators.
2. There is no way to quantify a small number of rules, resulting in unclear explanations, and there is a sense of discrepancy
We all know how to play basketball and shoot. Some people shoot three-pointers very accurately. If you ask him, how do you shoot? He will tell you "that's how he shot", and he can't tell. What he can't tell is the power of the shot, the throwing posture, the height of the jump, the height of the hand to start throwing the ball, and other quantifiable things. What it tells you is a thick-framed frame, which is well-known and easy to find, such as standing at attention, turning around, staring at the basket, etc., and these thick-framed things are easy for you to know, but it is useless to know, because You still miss. But for these quantitative things, no one can say clearly, because everyone's height, bounce, and hand strength are different, and the decision to throw the ball and jump height will be different, and there is no way to quantify it.
And this feeling of shooting a three-pointer does not come out of thin air. If you want to hit a three-pointer, you need constant exercise, constant exploration, and constant summary. Take a little bit, shoot low, and shoot a little higher next time, countless times of training, and the process of continuous integration have formed a personalized ball feel that suits your body, strength, and so on.
In trading, some things are unclear. For example, the grasp of the characteristics of a variety, each variety has a certain tendency due to differences in price, fundamentals, and trading groups. For example, white sugar is more demonic, while thread is more Stable, but how to quantify the demon, how to quantify the smooth? There is no way to quantify this at all. When dealing with the same technical form, different varieties will have differences, your signals will be different, and your reactions will also be different. This is the existence of a certain plate feeling. Therefore, understanding the characteristics of a variety is very beneficial for short-term trading. If you focus on a variety for a long time, you will easily have a certain sense of the market. You will have a deep understanding of the trend of this variety, but you are not very clear about the specifics and details. the law.
3. The disk feel is obtained through a lot of actual combat
Sense of the market is not a feeling, not a sixth sense, but a short-term trading system, which is refined in a long-term short-term. Being able to react and doing too much becomes instinct, but I don't know the principle, so it's a sense of disk. Therefore, market sense is actually an unconscious and unclear trading system, a conditioned response formed in long-term trading.
Since disk sense is not a sixth sense, but a trading system in essence, where does this disk sense come from? Affirmations come from experience, pain, tribulation. You will always know if you die too many times, so it is impossible for a novice to have a sense of market in this market. Don’t be superstitious about this thing. The sense of market comes from your experience. There are too many stumbles in this market. Yes, you have learned too many lessons, and you will naturally feel disheartened.
This kind of reaction ability cannot fall from the sky on a certain day. It largely depends on whether you are innately keen, whether you are good at observing, and whether you like to pay attention to details the day after tomorrow. Others are a bit slow, and there is no good way to make up for the acquired weakness. No matter how much you work your muscles and mind, you will not have a good sense of rotation.
4. The sense of the market is beneficial to the short-term, but it is not mainly based on the sense of the market in order to make stable profits in the short-term
From the above, we can know that market sense is a trading rule or market phenomenon that cannot be expressed clearly, cannot be explained clearly, or cannot be quantified or refined. The trading rules or market phenomena can be extracted and summarized. The so-called inability to extract and explain clearly is mainly due to insufficient summarization, insufficient extraction, and insufficient review, or laziness and unwillingness to extract.
It’s just that there are a few trading rules or market phenomena that are unclear, unclear, and cannot be quantified. For example, the specific temperament of the variety cannot be explained clearly. This kind of feeling, you can know it yourself, but you can't tell others, then this is called a feeling, it is called a feeling.
It can be seen from this that for short-term trading, most of the trading rules or market phenomena can be summarized into literal and clear trading rules or phenomena. Phenomena cannot be summed up into written or verbal trading rules. This is the sense of trading. Therefore, for short-term trading, a short-term trading system is also needed, which is not mainly based on feeling, but because the intraday trend nature of each variety will be quite different, and the intraday opportunities are fleeting and there is no time to think, so The trading system needs to be able to match the character of this variety, and the sense of trading for this variety will form a more detailed and invisible repairing effect on the trading system.
In real life, I know quite a few short-term traders, including some of my students, who are also from speculators. The speculative orders are all orders of a few seconds, or even orders of less than a second, with fast speed and quick response. , are beyond the reach of other short-term exchanges, but even so, when they do order speculation, they must have a trading system for order speculation. This system is clear and clear, but it is fast in terms of specific execution time. 0.1 seconds, or 0.5 seconds slower, this is a kind of disk feeling, it is not clear.
So if you say that doing short-term mainly depends on the sense of the market, you are very wrong. If you rely on the sense of the market, you will lose money. This kind of inspiration is far less stable than the system, and the sense of the market will infinitely magnify the weakness of human nature. And human nature is something we cannot avoid, and we can only restrain it with system rules. Just like once there is no law, robbers and murderers will be everywhere, and the ugliness of human nature will be brought to the fore. If you still mainly rely on inspiration to make transactions, time and money will change your mind.
5. For medium and long-term lines, there is no need for pan sense
For the medium and long-term, or for doing trends, there is no need to overemphasize the sense of the market. Have you ever heard of Buffett talking about the sense of the market? Have you ever heard Soros talk about the sense of disk? Or have you heard of a famous investment figure who talked about the sense of disk? None, because for the medium and long-term, you have enough time to think and enough information to collect, and you can use scientific logic to postpone. But for the short-term, especially the short-term within the day, you may not have time to think, and the market is fleeting, so at this time, you need to save the time for logical reasoning in the middle. Of course, for trending or mid-to-long-term, having a sense of market will naturally make you more powerful and your operation will be better, but without a sense of market, you will still stand tall in the investment market, and the gap is not that big.
So now we should understand that anyone who has made money or even a lot of money but can't give a clear reason, don't say that he has a strong sense of disk, and he attributes the reason to his sense of disk, and you should not believe it. If you make money in a daze, you will lose in a daze. That's not a sense of market, it's muddleheaded.
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