Trading is practice, whether it is in the transaction or outside the transaction.
Although there were more than ten times gains in shib last year, it is an emotional bull market after all. If you come to catch it once, you will have to wait for several years next time. Therefore, I continue to seek the growth path of small funds and stable compound interest in commodity foreign exchange futures.
Looking back on this year, the main goal at the beginning of this year is to make the transaction more perfect, more aggressive and defensive at the same time. In the first three months, it has been profitable continuously, and the profit has reached 40%. The main method is to follow the main force in the short term within the day.
If the above income is acceptable for a large-scale asset management, as long as it is stable. But for individuals with small funds, they cannot stay and need to be refined and optimized.
To sum up, there were many problems at that time:
One is that the need to increase the position after making a mistake increases the risk;
The second is that we often fail to grasp the big opportunities. When the market is good, the capital growth will be slow. I probably know what went wrong. The main reason is that the profits to be eaten are too small, and the short-term risks involved are too large.
So I started to improve and optimize. Optimization is carried out while changing the strategy and trading. It is necessary to improve the attack power, solve the defensive problem, and prevent the collapse of the mentality. This trial and error road is very difficult. In the past few months, I have gone through ups and downs, experienced the unbearable loneliness and suffering of ordinary people, and experienced many retracements. Finally, the income of the previous three or four months can be completed within one month, and it has relatively good stability, especially in the last month. In intraday and swing trading, I grasped key opportunities and had flexible dynamic positions. Except for a heavy position error caused by emotional problems, other transactions were basically normal.
Emotional problems lead to heavy trading errors are my fatal injury , I think the reason is:
1. Researching high certainty will make emotions fall into it;
The second is that people's greedy desires are constantly magnified.
After my practice, now this kind of mistake is less and less. In recent months, I have often made 50% monthly returns, and in the last month I have achieved 67%. The main thing is that I feel a better level of comfort in my trading situation.
The best deal is to be able to actively grasp opportunities when they come, and know how to short and light positions when risks come. In this way, in the dynamic position management transaction, follow the rhythm of the market, no matter if you do more or less, and you have more or less positions, you can deal with it freely.
God rewards enlightenment, there are several points of progress this time: one is the improvement of the record, the other is the improvement of the theoretical system, and the third is the systematic summary of the growth method of traders.
1. The income of the strategy system has been improved. In the case of low-risk monthly income, the monthly income of swing combined with intraday short-term and ultra-short strategies can reach about 50%. Excluding intraday trading, such data can also be achieved by only doing swings. If my personal mistakes can be less, it can be close to 100%, or even more.
2. Understand the market sentiment and the law of movement of chips, and the operation cycle, which is part of the core. Look for higher certainty in market shifts and know when the market is riskier. The certainty is improved, knowing which are the key opportunities and which ones need to be short and light, and dynamic positions will play a role, that is, earn more when you earn, and lose less when you lose, and your account can make money.
3. The certainty of identifying the top and bottom is improved, and the dynamic position play method is used in the band, and the profit-loss ratio is often more than 5 times, or even 10 times. That is to say, in certain market conditions, once the top is confirmed, the bottom is known, and the profit-loss ratio calculation can be made.
4. If the market is good and the technology is proficient, but you can’t make money for yourself, it’s a human problem. Practice can restore the emotions to a normal state. Wang Yangming said that there is nothing outside the mind. Once the mind is adjusted, what is reasonable will naturally appear in the mind. Self-control, from excessive greed to moderate greed, from panic escape to moderate fear, from stubborn ignorance to decisiveness. The result is the best reward for truth.
The market is objective, or it can be said that it is not objective. It is our subjectivity, personal cognition, emotion, views on the market, self-control, concentration, control of greed and fear, these are two words as a whole : Morality, a person's moral rank determines the overall result of the transaction, Tao is the law, and virtue means that people's words, deeds and thinking must conform to the law and the right way. Therefore, learning cognition and practicing personal character have a huge impact on trading results.
1. Explain the market clearly, and be able to form a knowledge system, especially the correlation between the essence of market operation and internal factors, understand what the market is doing at each stage, what the main force is doing, what the market funds are doing, and the analysis of what the market will do next logic.
To put it simply, it is an essential method to understand the market by using chips and emotional changes. When it is disassembled, it combines the essence of Wyckoff, the main force behavior, retail strategy and psychology, market sentiment, and reads the public with emotion. Technical analysis, speculative behavior, and the essence of other methods are integrated into a mode of thinking, reading and analyzing the market.
2. Integrate the band strategy and intraday strategy into the reading market to make decisions. The two sets of methods I am best at use the band analysis strategy to point out the direction for the day, do it usually during the day, and focus on doing it when encountering the band. The most important thing in swing trading is to judge that the trend is about to end, and to make a fuss near the limit point. The most important thing in the day is to patiently wait for the trend to emerge, and to follow the arbitrage in the short term, but it also requires some delicate identification to keep up with the market. Rhythm.