Reason 1. You must trade according to the trend. It is impossible to seize all opportunities in the Hang Seng Index market. We only do long in the upward trend and short in the downward trend. When the upward trend is not strong and the rebound is not strong, we do not take short orders. If the downward trend is not strong and the rebound is not strong, do not place long orders. If you can avoid the sideways trend, do not do it. Try not to put yourself in the transaction that is not in the trend.
Trading must follow the trading system. You can use many methods for analysis, such as moving averages, etc., and remember that analysis is not trading, because for trading, it is enough to follow the trading system. But in the process of trading, more psychological hints are needed, that is to say, in order to overcome the fear and greed in the heart, it needs to be discarded through reasonable analysis. For example, after we face the overall market of the day and have a directional view on the latest wave of market in our hearts, we will relax a lot when we operate with our trading system. For example, one day I looked at the market trend at the daily line level. The 30-day moving average is in a downward trend. I don’t know how long it will fall. What we have to do is to follow the dead cross signal in the trading system to short. Although the current trend is empty, it is impossible to trade at the daily level, because the market at the daily level fluctuates greatly, and stop loss will consume a lot of money, so the large cycle at the daily level can only be used for analysis. And after the short order signal comes out, it should be short, that is, follow the daily line level signal to find all short order opportunities in the small cycle, and pay attention to the rise in the small cycle is just a rebound. But how long can the market go through this wave of daily-level declines, whether it has just begun to fall, has fallen to a certain stage, or is about to end soon. We have no way to judge through these things, so we can’t enter the market, and we can’t really make a decision Feel the quotes. Therefore, we need to use the moving average taught by the teacher to analyze what the current environment looks like. What is the probability of taking profit when shorting against the current trend? What is the odds of winning? Be aware of it before following the trading system operation. Based on the analysis of the daily K and moving average of the Hang Seng Index, the moving averages in a certain rising market are arranged in long positions, that is, the cost of short-term buying is higher than that of long-term buying. The cost of holding positions represents the large funds of holding costs bought at different stages, because small funds will not affect the current price. What really depends on where the big money is in the market is 30 20 10 For these moving average positions on the 5th, the stock HSI is also a commodity, but it is different from ordinary clothes and shoes. They have no pricing power, and their prices are traded through transactions. It is impossible for 30,000 HSI points to be worth 30,000 points, someone must trade. You must have money. It is impossible to raise the Hang Seng Index to 80,000 points or drop to 20,000 points with 50,000 funds, because your funds are too small. The moving average in the market represents the position of the large funds entering the market in different cycles. In the rising cycle, as the price continues to move up, the cost of holding positions of large funds is known through the moving average. It is a process of slow concentration from divergence to adhesion. When the 30-day moving average turns downward, basically all the moving averages are cost-intensive in this small interval. Why are the costs originally in different positions, but they are gathered together in the later stage? Because the main force of the market is no longer bullish, and when there is a plan to leave the market, when the main force dumps the position to the retail investors, the retail investors will take orders at this price. And when there is no main force in the market to support the price, according to the concept that falling is far easier than rising, the market will naturally return to a downward trend. That is to say, all the moving averages diverge downwards from dense ones at present. It can be seen that the Hang Seng Index’s late market is dominated by short-term declines, and the decline will be considerable, because no one has started to protect the market at this point. The moving average starts to concentrate. When the market starts to move normally, that is, the main force throws all the costs to the retail investors. When the retail investors get the cost, there is no one to take care of it. Everyone trades at will, and the price naturally falls. The cost of buying today is higher than the cost of buying 5 days ago Still low, this is a downtrend.
There is also a method of luring long and short: for example, the 5-day moving average quickly crosses the 10-day moving average, and then quickly crosses the 30-day moving average, and then quickly pulls up and breaks through these two moving averages after crossing below, that is, the short-term cost quickly falls below. Medium-term and long-term costs, and then quickly go up is a short-term action. If you see such a signal in the transaction, congratulations, you picked it up (theoretically, the short-term quickly falls below the medium- and long-term signal, and the price will continue to fall), and The emergence of this situation is the last wave of air-baiting in the market, that is, the strength of the short side in the market is insufficient, and the rest is the strength of the long side. Therefore, the rise will be particularly sharp in the later period. This situation is called Yingu Valley, which will be introduced later.
Add
