A friend of mine told me this:
It has been three years since I entered the foreign exchange industry, and I have experienced several times of liquidation, but I have always cherished the dream of trading for a living. I kept reading, reviewing, writing plans to review, summing up my own problems, but I kept losing money. My friend doubled without my hard work. I feel that I have been stunned. I know that there should be more than trading in life. I have been living in depression, despair and confusion during the opening period. After the suspension, I know that I should return to life. I kept suppressing my emotions and felt like I was about to collapse! !
This reminds me of when I was in high school, there was a group of classmates who did not study hard. They read books very late every day. It's not this material, and then complain about those who don't work hard and do better than themselves. what do i think The gap between any person is not that big, the big thing is the angle of understanding of things, some people hit the point, and some people only scratch the surface without knowing it.
Speaking of trading, liquidation is really nothing to show off, and the number of liquidations can never be used as a criterion to measure whether a trader has rich experience. So I am very surprised why so many traders sit together and have to share some experiences of their own liquidation. If you only focus on skills or analysis without considering the actual situation of the funds, it is normal for the funds to be unable to hold back the strategy in the end, and if they cannot hold back, the position will be liquidated. If it is normal for a beginner in trading, but if the account has been liquidated since entering the trading industry, this is definitely a problem, because there is no concept of risk control, and the funds are not well managed. How can this still be trading? This is gambling.
Some people may think that this sentence is a bit heavy, because you will think that you have analyzed it. For example, you see that there is a support, or there is a divergence or a golden cross, so you entered the market, and there is a reason. I will give a very interesting example. When I was still studying at that time, I was studying operations research. At that time, a teacher communicated well in private, and then chatted and talked about blackjack strategies. At first, I thought I would find a light topic to talk about, but who knew that the teacher moved a small blackboard to do calculations, seeing our disbelieving faces, and directly deduced his experiences several times. He is gambling, or in a casino. But he has some stable profits most of the time, but what about many traders? Then who is gambling compared to you?
In addition, in trading, it is not important that you read a lot of books, but what you have learned and what you think and comprehend are very important. There are many people in Huiyou who have read no less than dozens of trading books (Forex EA House, which collects all kinds of trading books), I told them that I only read one book seriously, and when my memory is good, this I see that this book can be recited. Because the thinking and comprehension he brought to me allowed me to see a lot of things and allowed me to survive in the market.
This reminds me of a person, the boss of an investment company, who is very obsessed with trading, and goes into battle by himself every day, and makes some orders. One day he excitedly asked me what level his current trading can be? The original intention of asking this question is very simple. I want to get affirmation, and the current transactions have basically found the highest and lowest points. But I don't look at him, but look at the flow of his account for a period of time, ask him why he entered and entered the market, and ask him the reasons for some orders. Of course, in the end I flattered him and told him it was okay, because I couldn't tell him that he didn't even enter the door. A good day does not mean anything. It is important that you can trade for a long time and know why you are making money and why you are losing money.
But many people don’t understand this, and many people rely on complete analysis for transactions. Therefore, there are many masters of technical analysis and fundamental analysis in China, whether private or institutional, and their analysis is very good, but The list does not necessarily do well, or even lose money. The reason is very simple. For trading, market analysis is just a tool, and what is ultimately implemented is trading behavior. Your analysis may be very accurate, but in the end when it comes to trading, you may not even know what you are doing until the end of the execution. There is no execution.
Therefore, many institutions do not regard analysis as their lifeline, but fund management. I can control losses and guarantee survival when times are unfavorable, and try to get profits when times are favorable. Self-investment is worse.
Speaking of mentality issues, in trading, there are prerequisites for discussing mentality. Because your transaction has no clear logic, purpose and execution, you are not qualified to talk about mentality at all. It's impossible to have a good mentality. You win money by making orders, and you are humble if you don’t inflate and die. If you lose money, there is no problem with one order and two orders. If there are too many, you will always suspect that your analysis is not in place, and then your mentality will get worse and worse. This is an almost inevitable result. What is there to analyze? ? So I think the subject's problem may be more serious than this, that is to say, I have been working for several years, and I may not have started yet.
I never want to evaluate who is suitable for an industry. If you are not suitable for the market, you will be eliminated. I don’t need to talk about it. What should I do about the problem of the friend above? Very simple, you must first learn what trading is.
1. First of all, don’t think about entering the market to make orders. You have a lot of trading records for several years. First, put them all out, and then through self-questioning and analysis, first clarify the purpose of your own trading. What kind of deal are you going to do? High frequency, short-term, band, trend? What is the corresponding time period and space magnitude? These are not only your ideal state, but should be analyzed in combination with your mentality. For example, if you confirm that you think of it after seeing the profit, it will be like this after a few years, then the transaction with a large amount of time and space may not be for you. Yes, because your own execution ability will be too much challenged, and if the analysis is correct, you may not be able to hold the order in the end. If you are patient enough to do it, then of course it is also a possibility.
2. Correct understanding and analysis, find a relatively fixed analysis mode, don't make it too complicated, but relatively simple. As an analysis, there are both right and wrong probabilities. Don’t think about what must be changed to increase this probability. Instead, figure out the reason behind it, figure out an analysis method, what market can make money, and what market can’t make money. Let yourself grasp the profitable market first, and then think about other things. You can't grasp this, and it's useless to try to make the method more precise and more complicated. Then learn to face such transaction results calmly. Don’t take the icing on the cake as letting yourself make as many orders as possible to make money, but to correspond to a trading method. When it’s time to make money, don’t miss it, and when you can’t make money, you can take the risk. It’s not easy to do this . Of course, what you think about in this step should correspond to the level of time and space that suits you earlier. It's not with you. No matter how much research you do, it's useless research, and it can't be implemented. As long as what I can do can logically form a closed loop and have a relatively in-depth analysis model, it is enough.
3. Don't always look at the market, but have a correct understanding of where the risks in this market lie. Look at how much your principal is, and then think about how to control the risk on the basis of the principal. Many people in the market regard liquidation as a great experience, just like many middle school students regard hiding in the toilet and smoking as a great thing Similarly, this cannot be taken out and blown. In my opinion, it is wrong to liquidate positions when the funds can enable the strategy to be implemented, not to mention that many asset management projects themselves have strict risk control settings. Liquidation is really untenable in this industry.
The above three points can gradually form a model from analysis to execution, at least the transaction can be said to be an introduction. Of course, analysis I believe many people are qualified.