What do you think of the sentence "The initial trading habit of human beings is not trend trading, but buying bottoms and finding highs"?

"Buying the bottom and finding the high" and "following the trend" are two parallel trading ideas. In real life, 90% of people like to choose "buying the bottom and finding the high", and the remaining 10% have also undergone a lot of training and thinking. After correction, you will choose to "follow the trend". Why do we naturally like to "buy the bottom and touch the high"?
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connotation jokes tv

Thanks to Moore for the invitation. The subject of the question has stated the essence of the problem in the title, which is against human nature, but what exactly is against those human natures?

Let me first talk about the psychology of most people who are willing to hunt for the top. In fact, this is what is called the "anchor effect". That is to say, people are born with an instinct to like cheap goods. , when we intuitively feel that the price is higher than its own value, we just wait for him to lower the price before buying. After discovering this human instinct, merchants use the routine of false discounts to attract consumers, such as Say a piece of clothing is 1,000 yuan, you will think it is expensive, and you may not necessarily buy it. But if the merchant tells you that the original price of this dress is 2,000 yuan, and now it is a 50% discount for an event, you can buy it for 1,000 yuan. At this time, the probability of this dress being bought by you will be greatly increased, because the anchor in your heart The instinct was aroused, and a feeling of taking advantage emerged spontaneously. If you buy it, you will be tricked. The anchoring effect is the same when doing transactions. Let me give you an example. Let’s take gold as an example. The price range of gold in the first half of this year is about 1600 US dollars. For example, let it reach 1700 at a certain time. The investor's anchoring effect is activated, even if gold seems to be in an upward trend, he is still unwilling to go long, because the price is too high compared to the previous price, and it is too "stupid" to go long at this time , traders will choose to short in a relatively comfortable position. But what happened to gold? In five, six, seven and three months, the peak reached 2075, which made these people who wanted to take advantage suffer a big loss, shorting all the way, and being beaten all the way. The more interesting thing about this matter is that when it fell from 2075 to about 1930 now, many traders thought that this price was relatively low again, and the anchoring effect was stimulated again, and they would go long in a relatively comfortable position , because it has fallen so much in less than a month, many people are thinking, can't it continue to fall? Should it go up? At the beginning, 1700 was regarded as a "high price" unwilling to go long, but now 1900 has become a "low price" unwilling to short. This is the impact of the anchoring effect instinct on everyone in the transaction, which is normal, because all instincts in human evolution are to protect oneself, but in the field of trading, sometimes the instinct to protect oneself is likely to bring is hurt. How did I overcome it? Be imaginative about the market. Compared with the long-term development, the immediate highs and lows may be nothing.

After talking about selling high and buying low, and finding the bottom and finding the top, let's talk about trend trading. Why is trend trading so difficult, because this is more powerful, and it violates two human instincts. The essence of trend trading is to cut losses and let profits run. And this sentence violates two human instincts, so it is difficult to realize. First, truncating losses violates the human instinct of "loss aversion". Humans hate losses in order to protect their own income during evolution, so truncating losses is very difficult, mainly reflected in carrying orders, because if a transaction has Floating loss, stop loss is a very anti-human action, because once the loss is stopped, these losses will be "determined" lost. Stop loss, or want to wait, and the result of this stop loss is likely to be taken away by a wave against the trend and the position will be liquidated. This is our first instinct to hinder trend trading. Second, letting profits run is also against human instinct, which is called "aversion to uncertainty". Let me give you an example. For example, if a person wants to find a job and sees that the recruitment brochure says that the income is 5,000-10,000, what does the applicant want to know most? He must want to know whether your job is 5,000 or 10,000, or what the conditions are for 5,000 and 10,000. People like certainty and hate uncertain things, and the same is true in trading. When a transaction has a floating win, it is the instinct of "hating uncertainty" that is stimulated, and the strong desire to close positions will lead to pockets. Because only when the position is closed, this income is mine. I will have great anxiety about the fluctuation of the floating win. I am afraid that this part of the profit that should have been lost will disappear or even become a loss. It may be possible to let profits run, and the big trend behind may only be hopeless. Combining these two points, the result of the transaction is very likely to make a small profit and a large loss. These two instincts that originally protected us have become the biggest obstacle to trend trading.

Many people say that trading is anti-human. Most of them talk about this situation that violates human instinct. How to overcome it? Or as I always say, build your own trading system and set up your own trading rules. Within the scope of the rules Conscience, strict execution, use actions to break the interference of emotions, so that it is possible to make profits in trading.


Are you satisfied with this answer?

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laugh and sing

Buying the bottom and finding the high, right? Before answering your question, can you answer my question first, why do people who buy houses now have the "heart of buying up and not buying down"

The emergence of buying a house, buying up and not buying down is "loss aversion"-it means that when people face the same amount of income and loss, they think that the loss is more unbearable for them, and the negative effect brought by the same amount of loss is equal to the same amount of income. 2-2.5 times the positive utility. The "loss aversion" psychology has brought many possible business opportunities to merchants, and the same marketing method has been tried and tested. If you want to prevent loss aversion from affecting your rational judgment, you must first understand sunk costs. Since one thing can no longer reverse its development trend, there is no need to add new costs that must be sunk, but should be based on current and future benefits Make the best choice.

Maybe you will say that the attributes of social demand for transactions and house purchases are different, and you cannot comment on them. Well, then I will return to your question and answer it in your own way.

The market price in the trading world is completely different, and the market price on the screen happens to be constantly changing. When the market price rises a little in a short period of time, we will unconsciously think "it's expensive, we should sell it". 
At the same time, there are market sentiments, capital games, quick and sensitive responses to future expectations, positive feedback, negative feedback, etc. in the market. Therefore, price fluctuations in the market will be amplified and will also cause psychological and emotional distress. When the volatility is enlarged, the market price is prone to continuous rise or continuous decline, so when the market price drops by 3% today, you will think that the falling speed is faster than the usual falling speed, and you will feel that it is cheap, just buy a little, and the price will be lower tomorrow. Another 3% drop, you will subconsciously think that the price is cheaper, and you will feel more smeared in your heart, so you will buy more,,,, and keep buying, without thinking about trending things. Therefore, the deep-rooted thinking formed in real life can easily lead you to operate against the trend and catch the bottom in the trading world.
Therefore, since this kind of thinking is deeply rooted, before you have thoroughly established trend thinking, this kind of thinking of selling high and buying low will always secretly occupy your inner world from time to time, and sometimes you can’t find it. If there is slack, the mentality of selling high and buying low will quickly occupy the commanding heights and control your inner world, because the thought of selling high and buying low is the initial state of the human inner world. Once there is an opportunity, selling high and buying low will quickly and secretly control your inner world.

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深海一尾鱼

I think this data may be a bit exaggerated, and this data is more likely to stay within the scope of self-knowledge. There will be a lack of data support for the time being. Of course, it is difficult to get accurate data support for this kind of thing.

Perhaps most novices or traders who do not have a deep understanding of the market will like to "buy the bottom and find the high", but after trading in the market for a period of time, they will be more inclined to "follow the trend" after being baptized by the market.

Why is there such a result? Why do you like to "buy the bottom and touch the high"?

First, the desire for huge profits. This is due to human nature, and basically everyone thinks this way. In the face of profits, especially sudden profits, traders who can eat the entire trend will definitely not only take a little bit, and no one will dislike making a lot of money. In essence, buying the bottom and finding the high is to seize all the market conditions and all the profits in the market. This is very difficult to change.

Second, the ignorant are fearless. At the beginning of entering the market, I did not have a deep understanding of the market. I haven't read too many books in this area, and I don't know how the market works. Since there is such a profit, it will naturally go for it. So I want to enter at the low point and exit at the high point. The reason for this phenomenon is that there is too little experience in the market. After a year and a half, knowing that the market is moody, I naturally gave up this idea.

Finally, vanity is at play. This factor may not account for too much weight, but it is real. If you were long at the price of gold at 1100 and kept it until now, this kind of profit can really make you brag for a while. What others cannot do, you can do, you are better than others. Do you know why so many people are passionate about rights? A glimpse of the leopard in the tube, one or two can be seen.

When you realize the "scaryness" of the market, you will slowly give up the idea of ​​"buying the bottom and finding the high" and slowly turn to "follow the trend". This is the necessity of trading. Even if no one deliberately guides you, you Will do the same.

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汇海游侠12

Buying the bottom and checking the high, in other words, what you can understand is buying the bottom and checking the top. The so-called top and bottom are the beginning of the wave band, and the purpose of touching the top and bottom is to gain greater profits, not for a short-term callback. Note the difference between this. In fact, hunting the bottom and finding the top belongs to the left side of the trading method. In essence, it is only a difference in time from the right side, so there is no need to favor one over the other.

dachshund

Many books or theories discussing trading earnestly warn traders to operate with the trend, not to go against the trend, and not to hunt for the top. In fact, this is a specious concept, and it is not entirely correct. Traders must use a more macroscopic thinking to look at this A creed; In the trading market, trading against the trend represents greater profits, but greater profits represent greater risks. This is easy for everyone to understand, and that is why there are so-called trades with the trend. It’s not easy to say, but is it really wrong to guess the contrarian trading of top buying and bottom buying? In fact, more than half of the successful traders in history have adopted the trading method of what others give up. Isn’t this contradictory to trading with the trend? The key point is that successful traders are buying bottoms. The trading skills of touching the top are different from most people.

In the running process of a trend, it may not be possible to make money by following the trend, and it may not be impossible to make money against the trend. The blind spot of following the trend lies in the price of intervention, because although everyone knows that buying is the highest and selling at a higher level, and selling is the lowest at a lower level. However, this kind of trading mentality is contrary to the human nature of most people, and there are very few people who can really do it; while trading against the trend emphasizes that things must go against each other, which is actually more in line with the human nature of most people. But because of this, failed traders account for the majority of the trading market; the rainstorm never ends, the wind never ends, any long or short market will eventually have a reversal, and when there is a reversal When trading against the trend, there will be huge profits, but the reason why there are very few successful counter-trend trading is that most traders have already been caught before the trend really reverses. To be a successful counter-trend trader, the most important thing is to forget about long and short positions, insist on absolute counter-trend operations, and operate with short stop losses, and wait patiently for the price of the transaction and the time when the trend reverses. When the time comes, once the contrarian ends, contrarian traders will become homeopathic traders, and then they will be able to obtain the maximum profit; in terms of a thousand-point trend, the trading price at which contrarian traders can intervene It may be less than five prices, and it will not exceed 10 transaction prices. If you use the stop loss within 3% every time to find out the top and bottom, the risk is actually limited, but if you catch the trend reversal At this point, the benefits that can be obtained will far exceed the risks. This is the important reason why contrarian traders may not fail to make money in contrarian transactions as I mentioned earlier.

Whether it is trading with the trend or against the trend, in fact, the most terrible trading method is to grab the pullback. This is also the most common mistake made by most traders. When the market rises too much, they think that there will be profit-taking. When the market has fallen deeply, it is believed that there must be a rebound from the bottom. This kind of trading method is neither trading with the trend nor trading against the trend. The result in exchange is often a big loss. The callback trading mode, because market predators like to take advantage of the market traders’ trading psychology of grabbing callbacks, they will always earn small profits by grabbing callbacks, but this trading mode exposes themselves to great risks If you want to make money in the trading market, you should quickly get rid of the bad habit of grabbing callbacks.

Going against the small trend, following the general trend...should also be trading with the trend!

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no matter

It is dangerous to invest with the mentality of buying bottoms, because the safest way to invest is to follow the trend, and buying bottoms is against the trend. Maybe, someone happened to copy to the bottom, but because of this bottom, I don't know how many people lost their money. Until the trend turns for the better, the best option is still to be short.

As a rational investor, you should know where the real risks are, and then weigh the balance between bullish and bearish forces to make investment decisions, rather than relying on wishful thinking to invest.

However, investing is about a trend. Assuming that there is no short-selling mechanism in a market, rational investors have two purposes for studying trends: one is to take short positions in a downward trend and avoid risks. The second is to invest in an upward trend and obtain profits. This kind of profit is by no means based on bottom-hunting, but a result of fully releasing risks. In this case, the price investors buy may not be the bottom, but it is relatively safe. For a mature investor, avoiding risks and preserving capital is always the first priority.

Where is the danger of bargain-hunting thinking?

First, bottom-hunting is an investment decision-making behavior completed in a downward trend, and it is the most risky contrarian operation. Because against the trend, the probability of rebound is not high, and the probability of turning the trend is even lower.

Second, the bottom of the copy may be the top of the next stage of the trend.

Third, since bottom-buying is a choice in the case of extremely ignoring risks, it is most prone to serious consequences of huge losses or even liquidation. Through this analysis, it is not difficult for us to understand: bargain hunting is not an investment choice, but a gambling mentality at work.

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domestic big baby

      Some people enjoy hunting bottoms and finding highs, and it can also make such people feel a "sense of accomplishment" and enjoy the thrill of being sought after.

      Buying the bottom and finding the high not only allows us to taste the sweetness, but also the feeling of grasping the highest point and the lowest point is very fascinating and addictive. Even every time we make a small adjustment, we want to sell high and buy low, even if we are wrong 10 times. 1 time, I felt very accomplished, and I was able to brag about it and make the audience worship. Although I know that I can't buy the bottom and touch the high, but with a reverse K-line, the hand will unconsciously open a position, and the brain will subconsciously measure the profit range from the highest point to the lowest point. It hurts for three seconds if you are wrong, and it is refreshing for a day if you are right. When the addiction comes, you will continue to commit it.

      Because the idea of ​​"buying the bottom and finding the high" is deeply rooted, before you have thoroughly established the trend thinking, this kind of thinking of selling high and buying low will always secretly occupy your inner world from time to time. You have no list. When the price is high, you think the price is expensive Afterwards, you are buying against the trend and going against the general trend; when you have a profitable long order, and when the price rises a little in a short period of time, you feel that the price is expensive, so you sell it, and you cannot hold on to it. There are profitable orders, but you cannot earn the huge profits brought by the general trend. If you are a little slack in thinking about trends, the virus of "buying the bottom and finding the high" will quickly occupy the commanding heights and control your inner world. Sometimes you can't discover yourself because "buying the bottom and touching the high" is the inner world of human beings The initial state of the virus is the host of the original ecology, and the trend thinking is the later parasite, so the temptation of "buying the bottom and finding the high" is always staring at you. Once there is an opportunity, this virus will quickly and secretly control your inner world. You can't follow the trend, you can only buy the bottom and find the high, "It's easy to change the country, but it's hard to change the nature."

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bringing together confucianism and confucianism

In the foreign exchange trading market, generally speaking, there are two types of trading strategy technical analysis groups, one is the bottom guessing top technical analysis traders, and the other is the trend continuation breakthrough analysis traders.

In fact, in the fundamental sense of technology, these two types of traders are incomplete traders. This means that both types of traders have misjudgment of market technical blind spots and market traps.

For example, the trading method of using technical indicators to guess the top and bottom basically uses three techniques, one is indicators such as KD, the other is the moving average, and the third is the K-line combination form. Those who are skilled in the operation of the three techniques do not have years of actual combat It is difficult to achieve a certain technical climate, not to mention the foreign exchange novices who have just started.

The difficulty in actual combat is not as simple as we look at trends and pictures in books. A trader's proficiency in technology, the rolling grasp of shipping space, the allocation of funds, the judgment of the possibility of profit and loss and risk, Confidence in one's own technical trading system and a mentality that has been experienced in market battles and battles are all necessary for a successful trader.

Today I will mainly analyze the former type of trading strategy technical analysis group, that is, guess the possible advantages and disadvantages of top-level technical analysis transactions. And make some relatively complete technical summaries that can avoid risks for this type of analysis technology. Benefit our technical followers.

To put it simply, this type of technology is a fighting technology. Users must have strong technical comprehensive analysis capabilities and enough patience to wait for the market. As far as the foreign exchange market is concerned, due to the fact that about 70% of several major currencies 30% of the world may be in a unilateral market. This objectively existing technical trend market in recent years provides a market opportunity for traders who guess bottom and top.

From the advantage of guessing the top and guessing the bottom, if the resonance of multiple cycles is considered, it has a success rate of more than 80%, such as the resonance of the four-hour, sky chart, and even weekly chart. Use this This kind of resonance, you may be able to buy a relatively cheap price during the market operation stage. Once you start to make profits, you will often have better gains with the breakthrough of various resistance positions and technical trends. And when a new trend is formed at a key position, you The list will be more comfortable because of the profit of dozens or even hundreds of points, and you can see far away by setting a trailing stop. In actual operation, I often operate like this, and I have relatively good returns .

Guess the most feared of the top-level technology is a unilateral market. If you enter the market and find that this is a unilateral market, then you can combine technology but do not add more space. When the RSI (14) pulls back to around 45-50 Or get out of the transaction as soon as the technology is in place in the middle and low position in four hours. This refers to the safety protection measures for the top guesser. You can draw a considerable conclusion. Guess the top traders can wait for the end of a round of unilateral, the sign of the end has a little trick to see whether the four-hour Bollinger track has changed from rising to gradually flattening or falling. At this time, then Several moving averages will definitely start to wind up and the price will be in a range. This is the golden age for us to attack with technology.

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joker12

First of all, I don't agree with the original question. I think there are both, (in terms of trend trading), otherwise there won't be so many people chasing the rise, and the meaning of buying bottom and finding high is a concrete reflection of people's psychological defense line. It is also a common phenomenon in trading. I always think that it is okay, and it is almost enough to fall here. It is cheap enough. I can bear so much psychological pressure, but the result? Let's take a look at the oil price this year (there are still negative prices)

The so-called fundamental or technical analysis and all kinds of analysis are only used for verification, not for serious prediction. 

 Never believe in predictions - because predictions have too many subjective biases, because predictions are illusory futures, because predictions are a concentration of fear, because predictions actually represent uncertainty, so don't believe any analysis.

Then why do some people like to find a teacher to arrange and predict the market? Because you need a forecast, then I will give you a forecast. It doesn't matter whether it is right or not. 

Trading is to see the market first, and then follow the market - here is not daring to be the first in the world, not the first to predict, nor the first to fantasize, you have to follow and then move; then let the market lead you for a certain distance, You will make a profit. 

 How far can the market go? have no idea. How long does it take for the market to pull back? do not know either! Wait, then. That way you make fewer mistakes. 

 If you start to predict the price distance or the length of time, or lose your patience, worry about losing profits, and leave the market prematurely, it means that you have left the road, then you will fall into the roadside trap. For a moment, you are bound to make mistakes, and big ones at that. 

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禅心汇交易

Trading with the trend is a popular scam all over the world.

So who said: This is a world that reverses black and white

All the tops and bottoms are copied by the agency

If retail investors copy, institutions will not agree, so let retail investors be afraid

Follow the trend? Follow which trend, follow the new trend of the future, not the old trend that has gone for a long time

Institutions want retail investors to take advantage of the trend, which is a bit like a kitten fishing game. You enter the game in the middle, and I will reap the rewards

Cutting leeks will remain unchanged for thousands of years. If I say it casually, don’t believe it

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苦涩诗人

After a long period of evolution, human beings have become the masters of the earth. Think about it, can you not float?

The so-called bargain hunting is actually a manifestation of human conceit. This is something left in the genes after evolution to become a master, so it is very difficult to overcome! In our bones, we are the best! So in order to prove this point, it is shown in the transaction that the bottom must be copied to the lowest! Shorting must be selling at the highest! This is the only way to show how powerful the ruler is!

However, most traders forget that your opponent is also a human being, and it may be someone who is better than you! In front of them, ordinary traders are not masters at all, they are more likely prey, leeks! So, don't buy the bottom and guess the top! This can only be a gift of a head, money, or even life!

If you want to make money easily, why not obediently be a follower! Trend trading is like this, everyone has shown you the way, you just need to walk up, even if the road is rough, at least there will be no big pits! Remember, trends are created by money, not someone's imagination, and you don't have that much money to pile up, you can only rely on everyone.

So in the end, I would like to advise everyone, even if you are a really awesome person, in the trading market, you are just a small shrimp, if you want not to be eaten, follow behind the big fish!

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maida quantification

You have to look at how the physical business makes money.

Isn't physical business just buying low and selling high? Otherwise, how to earn this spread.

Then people put this method of doing business with entities into the financial market and found that it was not working. Because the financial market will explode, but the physical business will not.

So in order to solve this problem, trend trading was invented.

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a drop that scares ghosts and gods

Trend trading and bottom hunting are actually just two different trading styles, one belongs to the aggressive trading style, and the other belongs to the stable trading style. Buying the bottom and finding the high belongs to the radical trading style, which belongs to the left side of the transaction. Trend trading generally intervenes after the trend is formed, so it belongs to the conservative style of trading, which belongs to the right side of the transaction.

But there are also many people who like to guess the top and bottom when they are doing trend trading. After all, once it is at the top or bottom, after the market has established a trend, the profit margins will be much larger than those on the right side.

The aggressive trading style is more suitable for short-term trading, such as intraday trading, so even if you guess the top and buy the bottom, as long as the risk control and profit-loss ratio are controlled reasonably, this aspect is also certain.

Robust trading style, suitable for trend trading or swing traders. Generally speaking, in the volatile market, the fluctuation space is relatively small. If you still take the right side of the transaction at this time, then the profit margin will be compressed and there will be little left.

So, is it better to be more aggressive or more conservative?

There is no answer. Because there is no absolute good at all, it mainly depends on your own choice. Of course, this choice is not only based on objective constraints, such as the two points discussed above, but also based on one's own personality characteristics and profit expectations. For example, if you want to be safe in your affairs, you can't stand fast in and fast out; if you have high profit expectations, you can't be satisfied with an excessively high cycle (from the perspective of fractal theory, we can easily demonstrate that, without considering transaction costs, using the same One method, the lower the cycle, the higher the profit).

Just like adjusting the water temperature when taking a bath, what kind of water temperature is appropriate? There is no answer, I just make adjustments according to my feelings.

Therefore, on the surface, the determination of the trading method and trading cycle is very simple. It is good to be able to make a profit. The higher the profit, the better, but in fact it is not. Whether it is suitable or not is another dimension. It is not important, but from the perspective of trading experience, we should still be cautious.

It is best to ponder over and over again, whether I am more suitable for the trend, swing or short-term in terms of entry and exit methods; in terms of trading cycle, whether I am more suitable for the daily line or five minutes, and then make the choice that suits you best.

In short, whether it is guessing the top and buying the bottom or the trend, it must be determined according to personal habits and trading styles.

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大道至简

When we usually say that a person is ignorant, we will express it with ignorance. In fact, if you think about it carefully, do you feel that it is somewhat similar to trading? We don't know how much room there is to go up, and how much room to go down, but we like to buy the bottom and touch the high. This is the ignorance in trading.

It is human nature to seek advantages and avoid disadvantages. Although this is very correct, it is used in the wrong way when trading. The so-called pursuit of advantages and avoidance of disadvantages should be to keep track of profits (profits), and try to avoid losses (harms). This is actually the so-called trend trading, enjoying profits in favorable trends.

But seeking advantages and avoiding disadvantages also breeds greed. So we see that this word has changed in trading, and it has become a bargain-hunting guess. We always want to pursue profit maximization, so buying at the lowest point and selling at the highest point is the maximization of profit. This kind of behavior is caused by greed. Moreover, the risks of the trading market are completely ignored.

Therefore, through training and learning, it is indeed possible to change. However, due to the instinct of seeking advantages and avoiding disadvantages, you may still make occasional mistakes. If this greed can be completely overcome, then stable profits can be achieved.

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texas old man

Similar in sex, far in habit

habits do matter

Create a gap in the immediate results of each trader

The details make the difference, sometimes often

Do what everyone hates

Learn to be a different wolf

or a different sniper

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chinese studious bastard

In fact, people are self-interested and competitive, so they will also hunt for bottoms and highs in the trading market.

As long as the bottom-hunting is right, it will bring double the profit compared with trend trading. This kind of temptation is hard to resist. Therefore, it is difficult to get rid of people's gambling nature, although we always say that we must follow the trend of trading. In the face of excess profits, people's first choice is always willing to take risks.

In addition, once this kind of left-hand transaction is successful, in addition to bringing excess profits, it also has a strong psychological comfort and suggestive effect. It will prompt you to keep buying bottoms and finding highs until you lose all the money in your hands. To put it bluntly, the pleasure of making money may be the same as taking drugs, and eventually being unable to extricate oneself will destroy oneself.

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醉卧沙场

Questioner, before answering your question, I would like to point out that "buying the bottom and finding the high" and "following the trend" are not two parallel trading ideas. In fact, buying the bottom and finding the top corresponds to chasing the rise and killing Falling, inflection point investment corresponds to follow the trend. Of course, hunting the bottom and finding the top is a kind of inflection point investment, and chasing ups and downs also belongs to the category of following the trend.

Also, are your data sources authentic? Because there have been statistics on the big A before, more than 60% of short-term customers like to chase the rise and kill the fall, and only less than 40% of them will buy the bottom and touch the high.

The word "follow the trend" sounds lofty, but it is difficult to practice, because what you see is the past trend, and what you invest in is the future trend. These two trends are not necessarily equal. . So, of course, you went in with the thinking of following the trend, but the market reversed, and you became chasing the rise and killing the fall. Therefore, don’t think that taking advantage of the trend is a good investment medicine. In fact, it is more like a sugar-coated cannonball. Many people have evolved into chasing ups and downs because of the trend, and finally lost everything.

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cni

This sentence is not described correctly, let’s talk about bottom-hunting, today I use left-hand trading and right-hand trading to explain your "buying the bottom and finding the high";

The so-called left side trading, that is, reverse trading, usually advocates selling high and buying low in actual operation, and always intervenes in the deployment of market opportunities before the market rises.

The so-called right-side trading is based on the operation of the trend. In actual operation, it is usually advocated to chase the rise and kill the fall. When the market opportunity is confirmed, it will be grasped, and the market will reverse and leave the market.  

The trading on the left side is characterized by subjective analysis. There may be support at a certain point, and it seems that the later period seems to be rising, or a certain market is fully adjusted, and it has an opportunity for value investment, so choose to buy it and wait for the market. Invert changes.

The characteristics of trading on the right side are mainly based on objective grasping. Even if the adjustment is very sufficient, if it is still in a downward trend and is in a short position, I just don’t buy it, even though I am not buying at the lowest position. Unless the pressure of the downward trend is broken, the upward trend is established and then sold.

Trading on the right side is to be a follower of the trend rather than a forecaster. When the market is rising, instead of frequently predicting the top, but after the top is formed, sell the stock at the next highest price instead of pursuing the highest price. This principle seems silly. But practice testing is indeed the best strategy.

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勿忘初心

Speaking of why I like it, the high probability is because I once tasted the sweetness in buying the bottom and finding the high~ It’s like I bought a bag at the beginning, and it was 20,000 yuan when I bought it. I paid 5,000 yuan, so I bought a few more, and when the package rose to 20,000 yuan next month, I would feel a sense of accomplishment. In the transaction, if the gold price in a certain period is generally in the range of 1366-1421 , as long as the price goes above 1400 or 1366, you can achieve a sense of accomplishment if you continue to go high and low, and this sense of accomplishment is not good. Over time, I have a fixed mind: the transaction is nothing more than that!

It turned out that I was still too young, because good luck will always run out, and I was overturned later, and I had a shadow on the transaction. For bottom hunting, its advantage is that it has a large profit margin, which is why it can attract most people, including me. The disadvantage is that the risk is high, which is also the reason why I decided to quit, which confirms the sentence of high risk and high return. After these years of market polishing, I have long lost the courage I had back then, and started to pursue small steps (mainly because I can’t bear such high risks anymore), and I hope that trading with the trend can help me achieve my goal of making profits in the market.

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jiaoyi golden eagle

Thank you for the invitation to walk and look at the manhole cover

. This is due to human nature, caused by human weakness, greed, fear, etc. Moreover, they don't have a deep understanding of market price fluctuations. They always think that if they rise too much, they will fall, and if they fall too much, they will rise.
And trend trading is anti-human, requiring traders to be courageous, patient, persistent, willing, etc., so most people can't do the trend. In fact, trend trading is an upgraded version of bottom hunting. Good trend traders also need some kind of relative bargain hunting, but now they understand what they are doing, know how to weigh the pros and cons, and are willing to do so.
To be successful in trading, you often need anti-human nature, so to become a qualified trader, you must overcome your own human weakness!

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清明雨上

How did 90% of the data come from? Since it is a parallel trading idea, I like it naturally, so only 10% of people come to it, can it still make sense? In fact, most of the price difference transactions are based on these two routines, and it is normal to be evenly matched.

As the two major schools of the trading arena, hunting the bottom and finding the top and chasing the rise and fall are basically in love with each other. One school of thought says that trading must follow the trend, and that hunting for the top is an operation against the trend, and you must never do this. It's just a novice's illusion and conjecture, and it looks beautiful. Another school of thought is that if you don’t hunt for the bottom and find the top, the market will almost be over when the trend comes out.

My personal understanding is that you must be patient when buying the bottom, and you must not be anxious; it is completely the opposite when you touch the top, and you must be decisive! Another big premise is good money management. Of course, there is no final right or wrong whether you are hunting for the bottom or hitting the top, or chasing the rise and killing the fall.

However, we also have to understand that the trend cannot last forever, and only by guessing the high and low points of the market correctly can we make money. The cruel reality is that many people don't know that they don't have the ability to predict, so they are born to buy the bottom and find the high.

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