Chapter 3  07/04 XAU/USD 上行遭遇双重顽阻,反弹进入决战阶段

上方阻力参考: 1928、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1860

日线图看,美元走弱激励金价隔夜一度走强,但上行在面对前期箱体下沿1928与短期下降通道上轨交汇形成的强阻时显得上攻乏力,K线因此留下较长上影线。唯有攻破前者,市场方可颠覆冲关纪录高位未果后的下跌通道。后续阻力依次参考箱体上限1985,以及2000关口;后者也是金价重新挑战2070历史高点的门槛。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方形成温和金叉;RSI在弱势区小幅回升,展现市场初步止跌迹象。

07/04 XAU/USD 上行遭遇双重顽阻,反弹进入决战阶段-Pic no.1

4小时图看,现货金隔夜曾在1928下方形成墓碑十字,打破短期跌势以及波段下跌常态的尝试暂时受制。下行风险来看,近期低位1900整数关一旦失守,金价将打开更大下行空间。随后下方去年6月高点1877,以及2月3日低点/3月6日高点镜像点位1860预计均有较强买盘承接力。再往下,2021年7-9月高点区域1834同样是重要支撑参考。技术指标在形成底背离后继续回升,MACD快线已率先收复零轴;RSI则步入强势区震荡,流露短期趋势转强的信号。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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