Chapter 9  07/07 XAU/USD 反复受制双重强阻,多方需守1900底线

上方阻力参考: 1928、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1860

日线图看,在美元反扑势头下,金价连续两日上试“双重强阻”未果:前期箱体下沿1928以及短期下降通道上轨连日挫败多方打破跌势的尝试。下行风险来看,上周限制下行空间的1900整数关(1月31日低点)相对重要,失守将打开更大下行空间。但料下方去年6月高点1877,以及2月3日低点/3月6日高点镜像点位1860均有较强买盘承接力。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方形成金叉后无力上攻;RSI仍在弱势区震荡,呈现金价整体疲态。

07/07 XAU/USD 反复受制双重强阻,多方需守1900底线-Pic no.1

4小时图看,现货金冲关遇阻后再次形成波段“更低高点”,多空战火则逐渐朝1900关口蔓延。但如前提示,只要在该位上方打造波段“更高低点”,则随时仍有颠覆短期跌势的机会。1928阻力位之上,2月前高1959预计也将有沉重抛压,突破则将进一步巩固反弹趋势。紧接着箱体上限1985至2000关口料亦有抛盘守候,后者也是市场再次挑战2070历史高点的门槛位。指标方面,MACD快慢线回撤跌至零轴下方;RSI弱势区止跌后走平,提示即期行情依旧偏弱。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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