Chapter 13  07/11 XAU/USD 多空鏖战1928,上破方可维系筑底倾向

上方阻力参考: 1928、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1860

日线图看,金价冲击近期下降通道上轨与箱体下沿1928双重强阻的过程注定难有坦途,不过美元和美债收益率回落限制了市场的下行空间。市场一方面已连续两日收盘位于“上轨”上方,但同时也至少连续6个交易日受到1928的压制,唯有确认站上以维持筑底倾向。后续阻力可先后参考2月前高1959,以及前期箱体上限1985。2000关口料亦有抛盘守候,该位也是市场再次挑战2070历史高点的门槛。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方金叉后延续升势;RSI于弱势区小幅震荡上行,释放筑底信号。

07/11 XAU/USD 多空鏖战1928,上破方可维系筑底倾向-Pic no.1

4小时图看,现货金当前来到短线筑底的关键期,多空双方已数次于1928附近短兵相接。多方亟需实现突破以打造短线波段的上升常态,但若始终动能不足,行情仍可能重回原有跌势。回撤风险来看,1900整数关(1月31日低点)为多方必守防线,跌破将开启更大下行空间。随后料去年6月高点1877,以及2月3日低点/3月6日高点镜像点位1860均有较强买盘承接力。指标方面,MACD温和回升收复零轴;RSI在中性水平强侧震荡,呈现略微偏强的筑底节奏。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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