Chapter 21  07/17 XAU/USD 反弹高位连日横盘,下行关注“颈线位”支撑

上方阻力参考: 1959、1985、2000

下方支持参考: 1928、1900、1877

日线图看,金价在上周三(12日)大幅拉升,但之后两日在2月前高1959附近陷入窄幅整理行情,似为新的方向选择蓄势。上行机会来看,多方新一轮攻势将剑指前期箱体上限1985至2000整数关口阻力,后者作为高位短期下降三角形底边位,预计抛压沉重。而在二次挑战2070历史高位之前,4月5日高点2030预计将率先阻拦多方攻势。指标方面,MACD快线回升收复零轴;RSI步入强势区后遇阻,提示市场反弹正接近趋势强弱转换的节点。

07/17 XAU/USD 反弹高位连日横盘,下行关注“颈线位”支撑-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在1959一线暂缓反弹脚步,但先前底部抬高的上升常态搭建得较为稳固。潜在回撤支撑来看,复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域)相对关键,跌破则筑底势头将明显松动,且下行也将很快逼近1900下方的近期低位。该位再破又将开辟更大下档空间,去年6月及21年11月高点1877,3月6日反弹高点1860均为支撑参考。指标方面,MACD快线在零轴上方形成平缓死叉;RSI在强势区回撤,反弹后的整固行情也在修复指标超买。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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