Chapter 23  07/18 XAU/USD 跌落回稳不改整固态势,震荡消磨上攻动能

上方阻力参考: 1959、1985、2000

下方支持参考: 1928、1900、1877

日线图看,最近两日美元反弹限制了金价的上行步伐,在上周三(12日)大幅拉升后,市场持续止步于2月前高1959附近。而在窄幅整理过后无疑将有方向抉择,回撤风险来看,若始终无法突破1959压制,金价或向小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,也接近5月低点区域)寻求支撑,跌破则回升势头将被明显动摇,下行也将很快逼近1900下方的近期低位。指标方面,MACD快线回升收复零轴;RSI步入强势区后走平,呈现市场反弹接近趋势强弱转换时的纠结态势。

07/18 XAU/USD 跌落回稳不改整固态势,震荡消磨上攻动能-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价隔夜一度回落跌破1950关口,但多方迅速收复失地保留了向上冲关的基础。潜在阻力来看,1959关键位之上,多方新一轮攻势将剑指前期箱体上限1985至2000整数关口阻力,后者作为高位短期下降三角形底边位,预计抛压沉重。而在二次挑战2070历史高位之前,4月5日高点2030预计将率先阻拦多方攻势。指标方面,MACD在零轴上方死叉后温和回撤;RSI在强势区止跌,市场整固过程也部分消磨了上攻动能。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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