Chapter 31  07/24 XAU/USD 跌破短期升势通道,回撤压力加剧

上方阻力参考: 1985、2000、2030

下方支持参考: 1959、1928、1900

日线图看,美元持续反弹压制下,金价此前连跌三日,同时下穿7月上旬来形成的小型升势通道下轨,令反弹前景蒙尘。当前下行暂止于2月高点1959上方;该位一破,将指向下方小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,也接近5月低点区域)关键支撑。再往下,1900下方的近期低位若再不保,则将开启后续中期下档空间。去年6月高点1877,以及3月6日反弹高位1860亦为支撑参考。指标来看,MACD在零轴上方走平;RSI在强势区震荡加剧,提示涨势遇阻风险。

07/24 XAU/USD 跌破短期升势通道,回撤压力加剧-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价似已开始兑现MACD顶背离产生的回撤压力,若1959支撑失守则市场上升常态也将岌岌可危,而上方前期箱体上限1985则可能再次打击多头向上冲关的势头。潜在上行机会来看,也只有先后收复1985以及2000关口方可重塑冲关2070历史高位的可能。而在挑战纪录之前,4月5日高点2030料亦有抛压守候。指标方面,MACD在零轴上方死叉后持续走弱,快线接近跌穿零轴;RSI跌入弱势区后走平,提示金价下行压力不减。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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