Chapter 33  07/25 XAU/USD 反弹尝试无果而终,进一步脱离上升通道

上方阻力参考: 1985、2000、2030

下方支持参考: 1928、1900、1877

日线图看,金价隔夜一度依托2月高点1959展开盘中反弹,但在美元强势压制下连续4个交易日走弱,且下行逐渐远离7月短期反弹通道。后续支撑来看,小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,也接近5月低点区域)为下一道重要支撑。随后1900下方的近期低位若再不保,则将开启后续中期下档空间。去年6月高点1877,以及3月6日反弹高位1860亦为支撑参考。指标来看,MACD快线在零轴上方走软;RSI一度逼近超买线后回撤,提示行情转弱风险。

07/25 XAU/USD 反弹尝试无果而终,进一步脱离上升通道-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价盘中反弹未果后恐难以维系短期波段的上升常态,除非反弹站稳1959关键位上方以暂止跌势。不过上行还是将再次遭遇前期箱体上限1985至2000整数关口的顽固阻力;突破后者,则多头将重塑冲关历史高点2070的强势。而在挑战纪录之前,4月5日高点2030料亦有抛压守候。指标方面,MACD持续回落没入零轴下方;RSI震荡跌入弱势区,呈现市场短期趋势由强转弱的过程。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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