Chapter 35  07/26 XAU/USD 围绕1959来回拉锯,多空力量势均力敌

上方阻力参考: 1985、2000、2030

下方支持参考: 1959、1935、1900

日线图看,美联储利率决议之前,虽受美元和美债收益率携手走高的打压,但金价仍顽强收涨止步四日连跌,并脱离一周低点。点位来看,多方在重大风险事件前不愿弃守2月高点1959一线;但若跌破,下行将惯性下试小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,也接近5月低点区域)。随后1900下方的近期低位若再不保,则将开启中期下档空间。去年6月高点1877,3月6日反弹高位1860均为支撑参考。指标来看,MACD快线在零轴上方走平;RSI在强势区止跌,行情转弱风险尚存。

07/26 XAU/USD 围绕1959来回拉锯,多空力量势均力敌-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价虽已下破短期上升通道,但很快在1959一线展开拉锯。若借此站定波段“更高低点”,则仍有重启升势的可能,尤其是一旦美联储立场偏鸽派,市场无疑将再战高位。潜在阻力来看,前期箱体上限1985至2000整数关口一带料有顽阻;突破后者,则多头将重塑冲关历史高点2070的机会。而在挑战纪录之前,4月5日高点2030料亦有抛压守候。指标方面,MACD跌落零轴下方后形成温和金叉;RSI在中性水平来回震荡,多空双方暂处于均势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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