Chapter 39  07/28 XAU/USD 中阴打破向上攻势,止跌需守1935

上方阻力参考: 1959、1985、2000

下方支持参考: 1935、1900、1877

日线图看,强势美国数据推动美元、美债收益率攀升,金价因而备受打击。隔夜再度跌落至2月高点1959下方后,冲关2000的步伐只得暂缓。多方当务之急是确保小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,也接近5月低点区域)一线不至跌破,失守则将击溃市场难得聚集起的做多人气。随后1900下方的近期低位若再不保,则将开启中期下档空间。指标来看,MACD在零轴上方形成死叉;RSI震荡跌至中性水平,提示金价转弱风险。

07/28 XAU/USD 中阴打破向上攻势,止跌需守1935-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价隔夜两根长阴瞬间打破上升常态,唯有尽快收复1959方可暂缓短线铸顶风险。不过上行也将很快遭遇5-6月箱体上限1985至2000整数关口一带顽阻,突破后者,多方将重塑冲关历史高点2070的通道。而在挑战纪录前,4月5日高点2030料亦有抛压驻守。指标方面,MACD快慢线即将双双跌破零轴;RSI直线跌近超卖线后略有反弹,两项指标均落入弱势区,提示金价短期趋势正由强转弱。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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