Chapter 15  08/10 XAU/USD 刷新一个月低位,或正打造下降楔形

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1858

日线图看,美元在重磅CPI数据发布前保持强势,金价则再跌一日录得三连阴,同时也在不断刷新一个月低点。欧美银行评级下调所引发的避险情绪一度激励金价回探前期小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域),但这也仅是为新一轮下行蓄力。后市恐难免惯性下测1900整数关口(接近6月低点)。该位再失,空方将决定性开启中期下档空间。指标方面,MACD快慢线双双跌入零轴下方;RSI在弱势区延续跌势,呈现金价近期弱势。

08/10 XAU/USD 刷新一个月低位,或正打造下降楔形-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在短期调整通道中延续波段下降常态,而形态来看,震荡下行的过程有构筑波幅不断收敛的下跌楔形的迹象。一旦突破上轨,不排除被压抑许久的多头人气迸发新生的可能。潜在阻力方面,1935与下行通道上轨形成金价反弹的又一道障碍,突破则近期市场跌势终有缓和。随后还将很快遭遇2月高点1959一带抛压,5-6月箱体上限1985至2000关口预计阻力将越发顽固。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方延续跌势;RSI跌近超卖线后拐头,同样提示金价弱势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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