Chapter 19  08/14 XAU/USD 下行接近楔形尖端,突破失利将下测千九支撑

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1858

日线图看,金价连日来维持震荡阴跌态势,美国PPI升温令当地通胀形势趋于复杂,美元和美债收益率的强势令市场承压。走势来看,市场仍处在7月下旬以来构成的下降通道中,关键支撑锁定1900整数关口(接近6月低点)。该位若破,空方或有效开启中期下档空间。预计下方去年6月高点1877,以及3月6日反弹高点1858均有买盘承接力;1800为中期重要关口。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方延续弱势;RSI跌近超卖线后走平,提示金价不改此前颓势。

08/14 XAU/USD 下行接近楔形尖端,突破失利将下测千九支撑-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价上周尾段的盘中反弹依然未能挣脱下降楔形的桎梏,不过伴随着价格更为贴近楔形尖端,市场的方向抉择也将旋即而至。若出现相对典型的向上突破,将有望很快挑战短期通道上轨压力;一旦同时收复前期小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域),则预示市场反弹起势。随后上行还将遭遇2月高点1959一带抛压。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方横向纠缠;RSI在弱势区反复震荡,同样呈现市场疲态。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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