Chapter 21  08/15 XAU/USD 越发逼近千九支撑,楔形反弹迟迟未现

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1858

日线图看,美元强势背景对金价形成持续重压,走势方面也始终未能突破下降楔形桎梏。在进一步逼近1900整数关口(接近6月低点)后,市场来到决定中短期方向的关键节点。一旦千九关口不保,空方将有效开启下档空间,预计下方去年6月高点1877,3月6日反弹高点1858均有买盘承接力;而1800为中期重要支撑关口。指标来看,MACD在零轴下方延续弱势,且开口略有放大;RSI进一步跌近超卖线,提示金价颓势不断延续。

08/15 XAU/USD 越发逼近千九支撑,楔形反弹迟迟未现-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在接近楔形尖端时波幅仍在不断收敛,而在价格同时迫近1900时能否迸发强势反弹,也成为近期行情的一大悬念。潜在反弹前景来看,上行首先需留意7月下旬以来的跌势通道上轨压力;若能继而收复前期小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域),则预示多方攻势渐起;随后料2月高点1959一带也有沉重抛压。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方横向纠缠;RSI下看超买线,同样呈现市场极端疲态。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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