Chapter 25  08/17 XAU/USD 跌创5个月低位,单边下行酝酿超卖风险

上方阻力参考: 1900、1935、1959

下方支持参考: 1877、1858、1834

日线图看,更偏鹰派的美联储会议纪要给现货金“落井下石”,金价过去8日中有7日收跌,最新的三连阴掼破千九关口,并创出今年3月中旬来低点。后续支撑方面,去年6月高点1877,3月6日反弹高点1858料有一定买盘承接。随后2021年3季度高点成交密集区1834,以及1800整数关均为空方中期重要目标。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方延续跌势;RSI跌近超卖线,凸显行情极端疲弱。

08/17 XAU/USD 跌创5个月低位,单边下行酝酿超卖风险-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价下行跌破千九关口后打破楔形整理假设,反而在7月下旬见顶后的宽幅下行通道中走出了更为陡峭的跌势。反弹潜能来看,1900当前转而成为短线上行阻力,而多头想要真正打破下行节奏,还需挣脱两道跌势阻力线的拦截,随后方可获得挑战前期小型复合头肩底颈线位1935 (7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域)技术强阻的机会。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方再度死叉,且下行略有提速之势;RSI跌破超卖线,提示金价持续单边走弱后存有超跌风险。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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