Chapter 27  08/18 XAU/USD 千九反压抛盘沉重,延续“既定”跌势节奏

上方阻力参考: 1900、1935、1959

下方支持参考: 1877、1858、1834

日线图看,全球主权债收益率走高继续施压金价,市场隔夜再添一根阴线,且反弹回抽1900关口受到空方的无情打压。走势来看,现货金在下穿千九至6月低点支撑区域后,空方已彻底打破此前的中期升势。虽不排除多日连跌后出现报复性反弹,但市场恐难阻进一步下测2021年3季度高点成交密集区1834,以及1800整数关等后续支撑的步伐。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方延续跌势但快慢线开口略有收窄;RSI跌近超卖线后拐头,提示市场不乏短期反弹可能。

08/18 XAU/USD 千九反压抛盘沉重,延续“既定”跌势节奏-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价于近期初始跌势中沿着一根更为陡峭的阻力线震荡下行,只是在过去一两个时段在下破千九关口的阶段振幅加剧。当前1900转而成为金价反弹途中顽阻,突破后还将受初始跌势通道上轨的压制,唯有先后站上方可暂缓近期跌势。然而前期小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域),2月高点1959也将先后形成技术强阻。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方横向震荡,快慢线反复纠结;RSI在超卖线上方震荡,金价跌势仍保持了近期的一贯节奏。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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