Chapter 29  08/21 XAU/USD “严格”依照跌势阻力下行,千九转为短线顽阻

上方阻力参考: 1900、1935、1959

下方支持参考: 1877、1858、1834

日线图看,美债收益率高企的影响始终施压金价,走势来看,虽然上周五(18日)暂时止住颓势,但市场仍“严格”按照7月底以来新近形成的跌势上轨震荡走软。在千九关口宣告不保后,下行将首先指向去年6月反弹高点1877,该位一破,则市场恐难阻进一步下测2021年3季度高点成交密集区1834,以及1800整数关等后续支撑的步伐。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方延续跌势;RSI下行已至超卖线,提示市场超跌风险正与日俱增。

08/21 XAU/USD “严格”依照跌势阻力下行,千九转为短线顽阻-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价周初又有刺探近期低位的趋向,对于多方而言,在近期下行通道中,上述更加陡峭的跌势上轨阻力线始终是难以逾越的技术关口,唯有上破方可颠覆现有格局。然而转成顽阻的1900关口与通道上轨仍将联袂形成又一道枢纽节点,站上将进一步缓和弱势。再往上,前期小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域),2月高点1959也将先后形成技术强阻。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方横向震荡,快慢线互相纠缠;RSI再次下逼超卖线,呈现近期市场一致弱势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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