Chapter 31  08/22 XAU/USD 千九支撑岌岌可危,构筑双底阻碍重重

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1858

日线图看,美元和美债收益率隔夜反弹没有放松对金价的打压,现货金已下行逼近1900整数关口(接近6月低点)。该位一破,市场甚至将形成周线波段的“更低低点”,在5月又一次冲击纪录高位不果后,将开启更大的中期调整空间。之后下行将依次指向去年6月高点1877,3月6日反弹高点1858等支撑,而1800整数关将成为空方中期目标。指标来看,MACD在零轴下方拓展跌势;RSI进一步跌近超卖线,一致呈现市场疲态。

08/22 XAU/USD 千九支撑岌岌可危,构筑双底阻碍重重-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价下测千九关口后的反弹虽然一度上试楔形上轨,但空方力量始终占据主导。现有行情来看,市场并未有基于1900下方的前期低位形成双底的迹象。多方需首先上破楔形阻力线以营造筑底可能;随后7月下旬以来的跌势通道上轨,前期小型复合头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域)也将先后对双底构筑形成阻遏。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方持续横向纠结;RSI无限跌近超买线,凸显市场极端疲态。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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