Chapter 39  08/28 XAU/USD 千九上方形成低点,震荡固守反弹高位

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1877、1858

日线图看,鲍威尔的鹰派讲话令金价整体承压,但当前价位仍固守于上周三(23日)大涨后的相对高位,市场强势震荡格局未变。后续上行依然剑指6-7月小型头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域)阻力;随后2月高点1959为另一道强阻,该位数月来多次成为金价整固的中枢位。再往上,7月高点1985至2000关口则是挑战历史高位的门槛。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方金叉后延续升势;RSI反弹逼近强势区,流露市场止跌回稳的信号。

08/28 XAU/USD 千九上方形成低点,震荡固守反弹高位-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在短期反弹高位附近振幅扩大,多空力量依然势均力敌。下行风险来看,上周末段的回撤低位有望形成波段更高低点,但若跌破,则空方将很快再次下试1900关口。后者跌漏,市场将大概率重启跌势。下方近期低位至去年6月反弹高点1877一带则是中短期内多方的最后防线。更多支撑可看2021年3季度高点成交密集区1834,以及1800整数关。指标来看,MACD在零轴上方形成死叉,但快线未形成明显跌势;RSI在强势区震荡走弱,呈现即期强势整固特征。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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