Chapter 44  08/30 CRUDE 震荡摆脱短期跌势,延续上攻需守80上方

上方阻力参考: 82.65、84.30、85.40

下方支持参考: 80.00、77.17、76.20

日线图看,飓风侵扰、库存大跌,以及经济数据弱化美联储加息预期形成油价的一致利好。美油隔夜回撤于80关口至短期跌势通道上轨(已突破)的反向支撑一带收获强力买盘承接,收出中阳后延续近日反弹势头。价格同时进一步上逼1季度高位82.65至年内高点83.40一带阻力区,若破将有望进一步挑战去年8月低位区域85.40附近顽阻。唯破后者,方可进一步开启中期强势。指标方面,MACD快线在零轴上方拐头向上,有形成金叉的趋向;RSI升入强势区,提示趋势有望再度转强。

08/30 CRUDE 震荡摆脱短期跌势,延续上攻需守80上方-Pic no.1

4小时图看,美油围绕80关口的争夺暂以多方胜出告终,价格数日来的震荡上行多次形成带有向下探针的锤头线形态,展现多头的坚实韧性。前者也转而成为市场维系强势的一道关键底线,一旦跌破,短期波段仍有形成更低顶底的风险。在4月OPEC+“减产缺口”内部,预计7月13日高点77.17与去年9月低点76.20将有更为明显的支撑力量;缺口回补后空方将进一步进袭5-6月的箱体上限73.90。指标方面,MACD在零轴上方涨势提速;RSI上行贴近超买区,呈现短期强势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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