Chapter 7  09/06 XAU/USD 中期重压下跌破通道,关注1900一带支撑区域

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1924、1900、1877

日线图看,受制于美债收益率和美元汇率的反弹,金价隔夜回落跌破8月下旬新一轮反弹通道支撑线。更大时间范围来看,市场上行近日恰好触及连接5月、7月高点延长线的压制。虽然做出大型楔形整理的判断还为时过早,若6月15日低点1924失守,可关注一旦价格跌近6月、8月低点连线时,是否有止跌回升的迹象。而且在该位附近有1900关口,去年11月至今年5月涨势的38.2%回撤位,和年内低点等潜在支撑依次排列。指标方面,MACD于零轴滞涨;RSI回落跌近中性区,提示金价转弱风险。

09/06 XAU/USD 中期重压下跌破通道,关注1900一带支撑区域-Pic no.1

4小时图看,现货金虽然跌破关键技术支撑,但短线上升常态仍在,只是上述中期跌势压力线阻力顽固。多方当务之急是重返6-7月小型头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域)之上,以保持对趋势阻力的威胁。再往上,2月高点1959一带有强阻驻守,随后7月高点1985至2000关口料亦有持续抛压涌现。指标方面,MACD持续下行后快线已掼破零轴;RSI震荡跌近超卖线上方,记录金价承受短线抛压的过程。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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