Chapter 11  09/08 XAU/USD 止跌回稳人气复苏,即将遭遇中期强阻

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1892、1877

日线图看,现货金暂止近日颓势,在收出一根波幅有限的孕线后,周五(8日)亚市升破隔夜盘中高点。若得以站稳6月15日低点1924上方,则将紧接着冲击6-7月小型头肩底颈线位1935(7月5日高点,接近5月低点区域)与5月来跌势上轨交汇形成的强阻区。突破将很大程度上缓解金价数月来的下行压力,后续上行目标将指向2月高点1959一带强阻。指标方面,MACD紧贴零轴走平;RSI在中性区域止跌,提示金价人气正在修复中。

09/08 XAU/USD 止跌回稳人气复苏,即将遭遇中期强阻-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价最近几个时段的止跌企稳似乎有探寻波段更高低点的迹象,但上行也将随即遭遇中期压力。反观下行风险,1924的争夺将成为金价是否重启跌势的起点。随后则需重点关注1900及下方一系列支撑(包含去年11月至今年5月涨势的38.2%回撤位1892,和年内低点1884)是否牢靠。由于6月、8月低点连线亦落位于此,金价也有在该位附近走完中期下降楔形的可能。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方形成金叉;RSI反弹逼近中性区,呈现金价即期反扑势头。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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