Chapter 13  09/11 XAU/USD 中期跌势压制逞威,多方力量暂未示弱

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1892、1877

日线图看,现货金上周五(8日)反弹未果,留下带有长上影线的墓碑十字,可见5月来形成的跌势上轨压力尤重。若迟迟无法上破6月15日低点1924上方,从而维持对6-7月小型头肩底颈线位1935(接近跌势上轨压力)的强阻威胁,则市场恐沿上述跌势向下寻底。唯有悉数突破,方可缓解下行压力,后续上行目标将指向2月高点1959一带强阻。指标方面,MACD紧贴零轴横向运行,并有形成温和死叉的迹象;RSI在中性区域走平,提示多空力量暂处均势。

09/11 XAU/USD 中期跌势压制逞威,多方力量暂未示弱-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价反弹过程面临沉重抛压,尤其是上周低位一旦跌破,则市场难免朝1900关口继续寻底。同时需重点关注该位下方多个支撑(包含去年11月至今年5月涨势的38.2%回撤位1892,和年内低点1884)是否稳固。另外,由于6月、8月低点联机亦落位于此,金价也有在该位附近走完中期下降楔形的可能。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方金叉后失去进一步向上的动力;RSI小幅反弹仍在弱势区震荡,呈现金价即期整体弱势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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