Chapter 14  09/11 CRUDE 高位整固消化此前升幅,关注84.30是否得守

上方阻力参考: 88.33、90.00、92.29

下方支持参考: 85.40、84.30、82.65

日线图看,油价仍受减产等积极因素的支撑,上周小幅攀高后固守近期高位,窄幅震荡消化涨幅的格局颇有“空中加油”的意味。上行机会来看,油价仍需攻破去年7月低点88.33一带阻力以化解指标背离压力(MACD或将出现波段更低高点)。随后90整数关口或将形成一定心理障碍,但对多方更为严酷的考验将来自去年3-4月双底下限92.29,该位也曾在去年10-11月限制反弹空间。指标方面,MACD在零轴上方涨势放缓;RSI在超买线附近走平,提示市场面临一定涨超压力。

09/11 CRUDE 高位整固消化此前升幅,关注84.30是否得守-Pic no.1

4小时图看,美油上行步伐略有停滞,但以在高位形成窄幅箱体的方式来消化此前大涨,是市场相对强势的表现。只要8月低位85.40至上月高位84.30一带支撑固守不破,则短期波段的上升常态依旧维系。随后下方1季度高位82.65料有稳固的买盘承接力。该位若破,多方人气将明显转淡,空方也将继而下看80关口。指标方面,MACD和RSI一段时间以来均震荡下行,但现象在横向整固过程中十分常见,重要的是关注回撤下限是否固守强势区。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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