Chapter 17  09/13 XAU/USD 轻易抹杀三日反弹,下行直指1900

上方阻力参考: 1924、1935、1959

下方支持参考: 1900、1892、1877

日线图看,之前连续三日反弹被轻易抹杀,美元涨势压制金价再下台阶,短线波段已现更低顶底。更大调整风险来看,6月15日低点1924持续阻遏反弹的情况下,市场恐难免朝1900关口继续寻底。该位下方还有去年11月至今年5月涨势的38.2%回撤位1892,年内低点1884等支撑依次排列;同时中期潜在楔形底边也落位于此,可关注区域内的反弹机会。指标方面,MACD在零轴附近重心略下移;RSI震荡跌入弱势区,提示金价存在启动新一轮跌势的风险。

09/13 XAU/USD 轻易抹杀三日反弹,下行直指1900-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价在中期跌势内再度打造下行通道的趋向,且在刷新本月低位后尚无明确止跌迹象。反观上行机会,短期跌势上轨和1924首先形成一对压力组合;随后5月、7月高点连线又与6-7月小型头肩底颈线位1935联手形成强阻。唯有悉数突破,市场方可打破近期颓势。后续上行目标将指向2月高点1959一带。再往上,6月高点1985至2000关口将成为多方挑战历史高位的门槛。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方延续跌势;RSI触及超卖线后反弹,呈现市场整体弱势。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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