Chapter 23  09/18 XAU/USD 上破短期跌势后直面挑战,来到筑底关键期

上方阻力参考: 1935、1959、1985

下方支持参考: 1900、1892、1877

日线图看,金价上日显著攀高,市场一说中国(主要黄金消费国)经济数据向好形成助力。不过在上破短期的9月全新跌势上轨阻力后,还将紧接着遭遇6月15日低点1924,6-7月小型头肩底颈线位1935,以及5月、7月高点连线将形成轮番强阻。唯有突破,市场方可彻底摆脱颓势,上行进而指向2月2日高位1959。指标来看,MACD在紧贴零轴下方几乎形成金叉;RSI在中性水平附近来回震荡,提示金价虽发出反弹信号,但趋势尚未真正转强。

09/18 XAU/USD 上破短期跌势后直面挑战,来到筑底关键期-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价最近几个时段反扑势头凌厉,多方在之前反复提示的1900一带支撑集中发力,更关键的是价格有望在8月低点上方形成“更高低点”。不过上行在中短期跌势阻力一带将遭遇真正挑战。潜在支撑来看,1900下方,还将有去年11月至今年5月涨势的38.2%回撤位1892,年内低点1884等点位依次排列,叠加中期潜在楔形底边落位于更低处,令金价筑底概率提升。指标方面,MACD快线率先上穿零轴;RSI上行已直逼超买线,给出明确的市场转强信号。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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