Chapter 26  09/19 CRUDE 盘中反复回踩90关口,增厚冲关强阻基础

上方阻力参考: 92.29、95.00、97.20

下方支持参考: 90.00、88.33、85.40

日线图看,因针对4季度原油供需缺口的担忧不断加剧,美油在9月7日中断连涨后启动新一轮单边升势。价格不断刷新10个月高点,且已更为迫近去年3-4月双底下限92.29(同时接近去年6月至今年5月跌势的50%回撤位)一带强阻。一旦翻越该位,上方去年4月下旬低点95.00,去年5月低点97.20亦为阻力参考,随后进而剑指百元关口。指标方面,MACD在零轴上方扩大升势;RSI深入超买区,但曲线在高位略有钝化,虽然涨超信号明显,但基本面形势仍在主导升势。

09/19 CRUDE 盘中反复回踩90关口,增厚冲关强阻基础-Pic no.1

4小时图看,美油在过去一两个时段反复回踩90关口,但过程中多方承接意愿明显,该位也成为市场冲击92.29的重要基础。但若失守,下方去年7月低点88.33也将与近期升势初始支撑形成联合防线。后者若破,市场恐将迎来久违的调整。再往下,预计多方也会在去年8月低点85.40及上月高位84.30一带积极布防。指标来看,MACD在远离零轴上方死叉后快慢线互相纠结;RSI在超买线下方徘徊,提示市场涨势延续性将受考验。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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