Chapter 2  10/10 USOIL 巴以冲突刺激油价飙升,只是暂时的?

在巴勒斯坦激进分子哈马斯突然袭击以色列之后,以色列和哈马斯爆发了激烈冲突,引发大宗商品价格上涨。尽管原油价格出现了飙升,但分析师认为这将是一种下意识的反应,而且可能是暂时的。

双方都不是主要的石油玩家。以色列拥有两家炼油厂,合计产能近30万桶/天。据美国能源情报署(EIA)称,该国“几乎没有原油和凝析油的生产”。同样地,EIA的数据显示,巴勒斯坦领土不生产石油。

但这场冲突位于全球消费者一个重要石油生产和出口地区的家门口。石油资源丰富的伊朗是市场最迫切的担忧。

有人担心冲突可能会蔓延到该地区。但投资者需要关注的不仅仅是伊朗。有分析人士表示,如果黎巴嫩激进组织真主党参与其中,原油价格可能会“高得多”。

10/10 USOIL 巴以冲突刺激油价飙升,只是暂时的?-Pic no.1

原油日线级别,报收阳K线。目前原油是反弹修正后继续下跌还是强势收复失地有待观察,留意本周的形态转变。四小时级别,上周尾走出一波弱势下跌,虽然本周跳空高开打破了弱势形态,重新站上MA5日均线上方。但目前上方压制明显,短线有继续回撤的需求。上方短期关注86.00一线阻力,下方短期关注82.80一线支撑。

文章来源:汇通网、外汇黄金分析指导

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