Chapter 7  12/06 XAUUSD 金价在当日大幅反转后趋于平静

看涨势头反映了2024年黄金的积极前景

黄金市场在昨天经历了惊人的一天交易后试图喘口气。金价回波上涨5.42%,抹去了之前在2081美元左右的历史高点,但随后回撤了走势,收盘时大幅走低。

RSI 飙升至超买区域,并且已经恢复——凸显了昨天经历的大量波动。然而,今天的交易更加温和,交易价格低于 2050 美元的水平,但上升趋势仍然完好无损,远高于 200 天简单移动平均线 (SMA)。

在美国国债收益率见顶后,黄金多头似乎处于主导地位,市场继续对2024年降息进行定价。较低的利率通常会使美元贬值,这为外国(非美国本土)购买以美元为基础的商品提供了相对折扣。

随着以色列在停火结束后继续侵略哈马斯目标,避风港的吸引力也仍然存在。支撑位在2010美元,直接阻力位在2050美元,其次是2081.80美元。

12/06 XAUUSD 金价在当日大幅反转后趋于平静-Pic no.1

下图与预期的30天黄金波动率有关,显示了我们昨天看到的波动幅度,导致GVZ指数大幅走高。在昨天之前,随着以色列-哈马斯战争的最初影响持续,黄金波动性已经消退。

12/06 XAUUSD 金价在当日大幅反转后趋于平静-Pic no.2

文章来源:FXprime

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