Chapter 10  12/07 CRUDE 原油跌入4小时主跌5浪正轨了?

原油昨日完成了5连跌了,也就是日线收了5连阴了,昨日也走了一个大单边行情,从早上开盘之后就从开盘价一路慢跌到目前的低点69.11美元,严格来说是开盘之后行情极小幅涨到72.60美元之后开始跌的,单日从72.60高点到目前的低点69.11美元,跌了3.49美元,这波跌幅超过笔者的预期,笔者昨日是预期先跌破72美元再跌破71美元,所以给了70.75美元的多单,但是行情直接跌破了70美元,导致我们昨日的多单策略被止损35个点出场了,虽然被止损了,行情也算是按照我们的整体思路来走的,今日原油开盘价69.28美元。

正是昨日的这波下跌,让主跌5浪的形态更明确了,那我们来看看4小时主跌1-5浪的各自波动幅度,1浪从90.27美元到78.93美元,跌幅为11.34美元,2浪从78.93美元到88.37美元,涨幅为9.44美元,3浪就是从88.37美元到72.37美元,跌幅为16美元,4浪从72.37美元到79.60美元,上涨幅度为7.23美元,目前5浪从79.60美元到目前的低点69.11美元,(这个点位79.60美元是笔者在12.1日给的做空,如果拿到现在是很完美的)幅度为10.49美元,目前5浪的下跌已经基本接近1浪了,但是从目前的跌幅来看5浪只会大于1浪的幅度,这波5浪的终点大概率是奔着64.37美元去的,但是目前原油已经5连跌了,今日或者明日大概率会有一波3美金之内的反弹上涨行情,也就是有一个日线收阳的行情,笔者无法确定行情是今日上涨收阳还是明日,如果今日日线还是收阳,那么明日就以做多为主,所以我们今日的操作是摸高做空,触底做多。

12/07 CRUDE 原油跌入4小时主跌5浪正轨了?-Pic no.1

交易建议:

1,上方在70.85美元做空,止损35个点,止盈68.50美元。

2,下方在68.40美元做多,止损35个点,止盈70美元左右。

文章来源:汇通网

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