Chapter 11  04/18 XAU/USD 回撤跌破2000关口,上升常态岌岌可危

上方阻力参考: 2000、2030、2070

下方支持参考: 1959、1928、1900

日线图看,美元及美债收益率的上升对黄金形成“杀招”,金价下穿2000整数关口后暂缓跌势。该位争夺也将为短期行情的运行方向形成心理暗示。潜在下行风险来看,上周低位1980,短期上升通道下轨,以及2月高点1959形成连续支撑,若悉数跌穿则市场调整将向纵深推进。后续支撑进而参考3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928一线,以及1900整数关。指标方面,MACD快慢线在零轴上方死叉后下行;RSI在超买线下方震荡回撤,提示市场调整风险。

04/18 XAU/USD 回撤跌破2000关口,上升常态岌岌可危-Pic no.1

4小时图看,虽然金价自近期高位显著回落,但暂时仍固守上升常态的最后底线:上周低点1980尚未跌破。料即期争夺仍将围绕2000关口展开,如若收复,则将再度挑战过去两周两次形成阻力的2030。站上则将对2070附近的纪录高点展开冲击;随后价格往上将鲜有历史点位参考,预计2100、2200等心理整数关或有一定抛压。指标方面,MACD快慢线双双没入零轴下方;RSI跌入弱势区后小幅横向整理,呈现金价短线趋势由强转弱的过程。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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