Chapter 17  04/21 XAU/USD 回升收复两千关口,慎防出现“更低高点”

上方阻力参考: 2030、2070、2100

下方支持参考: 2000、1959、1928

日线图看,金价在美元、美债收益率双双回落的情况下反弹,并重上2000关口。走势来看,市场下触3月下旬以来形成的平缓上升通道下轨后站稳脚跟,多方依然有望沿通道上看4月5日高点2030,及上方的纪录高位2070等阻力。价格再往上将鲜有历史点位参考,预计2100、2200等心理整数关或有明显抛压。指标方面,MACD在零轴上方死叉后下行,但快线跌速已放缓;RSI在超买线下方震荡走低,提示涨势正进入更为温和的阶段。

04/21 XAU/USD 回升收复两千关口,慎防出现“更低高点”-Pic no.1

4小时图看,金价虽然重回2000上方,但从下穿1980波段前低(4月10日低点)的动作来看,需慎防在2048本轮升势高位下方出现波段“更低高点”的风险。若市场遇阻拐头向下,通道下轨至2月高点1959是否得守将至关重要,跌破则可宣告前期涨势暂告段落,后续支撑指向3月22日低点1935至1月16日高点1928一线,随后下方1900整数关料亦有买盘承接。指标方面,MACD在零轴下方再度金叉,且快线接近收复零轴;RSI震荡回升重返强势区,记录多方反扑尝试。

文章来源:FXTM富拓

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