• 今晚的美国非农就业数据将决定道琼斯指数短期前景


短期道琼斯指数展望 - 2023年11月3日星期五 最近几周,随着地缘政治担忧和美国国债收益率飙升,导致股市承压,更广泛市场的波动性上升,CBOE波动性指数(VIX)触及3月以来最高水平。今晚发布的美国非农就业数据也不例外。 自本周初以来,股市一直在上涨,并延续了隔夜的涨势。这主要是因为市场普遍认为美联储已经结束加息,甚至可能在2024年开始降息。今晚发布的美国劳动力数据可能会消除这种预期,或导致市场将本周的涨幅延续到周末。交易员预计,上月新增就业人数将从33.6万降至18万,失业率将保持在3.8%不变。如果新增就业人数低于18万,可能会导致股市大幅下挫;同样,任何意外强劲的数据都可能会推高市场。


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