Discussions among the group RFX Market Analysis

The VIX spiked above 30 last week.

king_samuel

The VIX spiked above 30 last week. It's still sitting above 20, where market fear tends to dig in. S&P 500 companies told a different story. 54% of Q1 EPS guidance came in positive, against a five-year average of just 42%. Only 51 firms went negative, the fewest since Q4 2021. Semiconductors and tech are leading the bullish charge. Earnings season starts April 13. Right now, fear and corporate reality are pointing in opposite directions. Trade US SP 500 CFDs on Deriv MT5. A $200 position contro

U.S.-Iran ceasefire news hit pre-market.

king_samuel

On April 8, U.S.-Iran ceasefire news hit pre-market. Dow futures jumped 1,200 points before the open and Nasdaq futures were up 3.5% in the same session. Oil lost 16% as the war premium evaporated, redirecting capital straight into tech. Amazon gained 5.6%, semiconductors added 5.8%, and Wall Street 30 closed the week up 3%. Wall Street 30 CFDs on Deriv MT5. Spread from 1.25 points, up to 1000x leverage. Become Our DynamicWorks Partner: https://deriv.partners/rx?sidc=502D9A29-49A2-4BA2-93D1-552

Stop Guessing and Start Following Structure

king_samuel

Why most traders lose, and how a structured approach change everything Every trader, at some point, has sat in front of their charts making decisions based on a hunch, a feeling that price is "about to turn," or that a move "looks ready." It feels instinctive. It feels right. And more often than not, it ends in a loss. This isn't a talent problem. It isn't a lack of intelligence. It's a structural problem. The Forex market doesn't reward intuition; it rewards consistency, discipline, and framewo

MARKET ANALYSIS AND SIGNAL INSIGHT - V100 ( 27TH NOVEMBER 2025)

king_samuel

ASSET: V100 Higher-Timeframe View (H4) Market Structure: Price has made another lower high and continued downward → clear short-term bearish order flow. Strong rejection from the 884 – 913 supply zone created a clean drop. Price is now trading at 758 – 760, a previously-tested demand zone. Key Levels: Support / Demand: 758 – 760 Immediate Resistance: 815 – 820 Major Resistance: 868 – 884 (strong supply zone) Conclusion: We are inside a higher-timeframe bearish environment, but price is sitting

V100 Analysis and Signal Setup (Premium) - 24th November 2025

king_samuel

Asset: Volatility 100 Index (H4) Market Structure Analysis The market has been trading inside a large H4 range for several days, with clear signs of accumulation at the bottom of the range. Recently: Liquidity Sweep at 792-799 Price dipped below the major support zone (792–799) and instantly rejected with a strong bullish wick. This is a classic liquidity grab / stop hunt followed by aggressive buying pressure. Shift to Bullish Orderflow After grabbing liquidity: • Price reclaimed the 805–811 m

Traders, it’s time to level up!

king_samuel

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V100 Analysis and Signal Setup 21st Nov. 2025

king_samuel

Timeframe: Multi-timeframe Analysis Trend Bias: Bullish Structure: V100 has been in a major downtrend for months, forming lower highs and lower lows accross timeframes. Daily Structure: Price currently ranging in a channel after making a series of downward swings. now we are at a major daily floor with multiple rejections, we also have an unmitigated buy-side liquidity around 913, this zones is an institutional interest zone. 4-Hour Timeframe: Price previously broke structure around 913.40 indi

V10 Analysis and Signal Setup 21st November 2025

king_samuel

Timeframe: 4H Trend Bias: Bearish Structure: V10 has been in a major downtrend since July 2023, forming swing highs and lows within a descending channel on the daily timeframe. Price recently prints a Bullish pullback towards 5578.840 resistance level, However price couldnt break through above leading to a break of structure towards the downside. Price is currenty at the major support level 5515.298. Breaking this level will lead to a formation of a new bearish order block and a full shift towa

VIX 25 Technical Analysis and Signal Setup

king_samuel

Chart Overview - Timeframe: September 25 – November 6 - Period: 4Hours - Current Price Zone:Just below key resistance at 25714.00 - Key Zones Identified: - 🔴 Supply Zone (Resistance): 25714.00 and above price has previously reversed here. - 🟤 Demand Zone (Support):Lower region marked by brown rectangle historical bounce zone. - 🔵 Secondary Support Zones: Below current price, marked by dashed lines and blue shading. --- 📈 Price Action Insights - Price is currently hovering near resistance, s

UPDATE: RFX IS BACK

king_samuel

Hey, traders! It's great to be back! I've missed sharing my insights and strategies with you, and I'm excited to dive back into the world of Forex with you all. Over the past few months, I've been refining my approach, testing new strategies, and learning from my experiences. And I'm now more confident than ever to share my best ideas with you. My goal is to provide you with high-quality content, actionable insights, and a supportive community. I'm committed to helping you navigate the markets a

GBPUSD ANALYSIS 7 AUGUST 2025

king_samuel

FULL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: GBPUSD (M5) 1. Price Action Patterns • Strong bullish breakout after long accumulation phase. • A textbook liquidity sweep + bullish engulfing combo before rocket launch. • Recently formed equal highs / liquidity pool at 1.34230 — ripe for manipulation. 2. Range-Bound Structure • Market just broke out from a tight range (1.33880 – 1.34130). • Now it’s testing the upper range / fib zone confluence around 1.34230 — potential reversal trap if liquidity hunted. 3. Trend Ana

EURUSD ANALYSIS AND SIGNAL 7 AUGUST 2025

king_samuel

FULL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: EURUSD (M5) 1. Price Action Patterns Analysis * The chart shows a **classic bearish order block* near 1.16700, price rejected hard from there. * Bearish Flag / Channel: During the drop, a bearish flag formed, and then broke down. * Multiple strong bearish impulsive moves with small retracements indicate institutional sell-off. * Bullish reaction candle just appeared at the bottom (1.16180 zone), showing short-term buying interest. 2. Range-Bound Analysis * Short-term ra

EURUSD PREMIUM SIGNAL ANALYSIS (H1 CHART) - July 10, 2025

king_samuel

Strategy: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Market Structure Overview Current Bias: Bullish retracement/reversal setup Previous Structure: Bearish flow recently broke short-term lows but failed to push further down Shift in Momentum: Price has reacted strongly off a fresh bullish Order Block (OB), indicating possible CHoCH forming Key Levels & SMC Zones Entry Zone (Demand Zone) Type: Bullish OB / Demand Block Zone Range: 1.16950 – 1.17100 Confluence: Clean bullish OB from previous low Aligns with recen

Analysis on Gold - 10th July 2025

king_samuel

Chart Context (XAUUSD M15 - 10 July 2025) Market Structure Price is currently in a bullish sequence (higher highs and higher lows) after a strong break of structure (BOS) to the upside from the demand zone. A clear CHoCH occurred before the move up, confirming the shift in intent. Price is reacting to a refined M15 bullish order block (highlighted in blue). Key SMC Zones ENTRY ZONE 1 (High-Probability Buy Area) Zone: 3310.20 – 3305.50 Type: Refined M15 Order Block (bullish) Justification: Strong

FOMC JUNE 2025 RECAP — WHAT IT MEANS FOR USD & GOLD

king_samuel

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady at 4.25%–4.50% The Fed kept rates unchanged, but with a slightly dovish tone as projections signal a path toward rate cuts in 2026. Key Highlights: Inflation Cooling: PCE inflation expected to fall from 3.0% (2025) to 2.1% (2027). Core PCE also moderates, signaling progress toward the 2% target. Rate Cuts Ahead: Fed's median rate projections fall: ▸ 3.9% (2025) → 3.6% (2026) → 3.4% (2027) → 3.0% (long run) Growth & Labor: GDP growth revised lower to 1.4%, whil

LIVE ANALYSIS ON GBPUSD 4th JULY 2025

king_samuel

H4: Market showed bullish BOS up to 1.3779 before a strong CHOCH indicating a shift to bearish structure. Price has now created a lower high after a lower low. H1: Clean CHOCH after tapping premium supply. Structure forming lower highs and lower lows. M15: Internal structure is bullish, possibly forming a liquidity grab before continuation downward — a pullback in bearish H1/H4 context. Liquidity Zones Sell-Side Liquidity: Relative equal lows at 1.3403 (H4) – resting liquidity. M15 has short-te

LIVE ANALYSIS ON USDCAD 4th JULY 2025

king_samuel

1. H4 (High Timeframe) Market Structure Analysis Market Bias: Bearish Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed BOS at ~1.3655 after previous lower highs were maintained and lows were broken. CHOCH: No bullish CHOCH yet – bearish structure is intact. Liquidity Zones: Sell-side liquidity (SSL): Below 1.3550 – clean equal lows visible (attracting sell-side draw). Buy-side liquidity (BSL): Clustered above 1.3650 and 1.3680 (unmitigated supply and inefficient candles). Order Blocks (OBs): Valid H4 Supply

GOLD ANALYSIS AND SIGNAL SETUP 4th July 2025

king_samuel

On the 4-hour XAU/USD chart, price is currently reacting from a supply zone around 3350–3360, suggesting a short-term sell opportunity targeting the demand zone at 3280–3290. If price reaches this demand zone and shows bullish confirmation (e.g., rejection or strong bullish candles), a buy setup may follow with targets at 3360, 3415, and possibly 3460. The overall idea is to sell into demand, then look to buy from the demand zone once liquidity below recent lows is taken. Gold SELL SCENARIO (Sh

AUD/USD H1 – SMC Analysis

king_samuel

Price has reacted strongly from a higher time frame demand zone(highlighted in grey), with a refined H1 bullish order block marked in green, showing clear signs of institutional interest. - Break of Structure (BOS): Price previously broke below a minor support, forming a bearish BOS. However, we now see a potential shift in market structure, as price failed to create a new low and instead formed a bullish reaction. - Entry Confirmation: Price tapped into the bullish order block within the deman

Swing Analysis on EURUSD

king_samuel

🔵EUR/USD Analysis 1. Market Structure Bullish Market Structure: The price is in a strong uptrend, characterized by higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). Recent Pullback: After a strong bullish impulse, the price is experiencing a retracement. Key Levels: Resistance: 1.11465 (Potential Target) Support Zone: 1.08135 - 1.08470 (Grey Box – Demand Zone) 2. Order Blocks & Demand Zones Bullish Order Block (OB) & Demand Zone: The grey highlighted box represents an institutional demand zone. Price mi