Stay in touch!
Subscribe to our newsletter to get the latest updates on live market analysis, trading strategies and more. You can unsubscribe anytime.
By subscribing, you agree to Trading.live Privacy Policy.
The situation mentioned by the topic can be described as "routine operation" in the trading market. We need to understand one essence: trading is always a fulfillment of expectations. We often say that stock trading is speculation in the future and expectations. In fact, any market is the same, it is a kind of hype about future expectations.
Well, before major data is released, because everyone knows that this data may have a relatively large influence, they will invest in their own understanding of it, that is, trade before the data. If you are optimistic, buy up first, and if you are bearish, buy down first. So in the end, before the data is released, the market will move in the direction of most people, which is easy to understand.
Then after the data comes out, it can be divided into two situations: 1. The market is accelerating. At this time, the market may accelerate to the previous direction, because the opposite investors realized that they made a mistake and closed their positions to boost the market; investors who did not enter the market before may catch up because of the good data. 2. The market reverses. On the one hand, it may be because the data is not as good as expected, and investors who bought before have left one after another, causing the market to reverse; Or, find a mistake and escape in time.
The second situation here is the problem mentioned by the subject. Because the data fulfilled investors' previous expectations, investors closed their positions for peace of mind, which led to a market reversal. Regardless of whether it is in line with expectations, as long as investors choose to leave the market, it will cause the market to reverse.
Regardless of the data itself, market fluctuations are only due to capital fluctuations. Then we only need to change according to the current situation of the market, without paying attention to too many other things. It would be even better if you have a trading system. Within the framework of your system, no matter how the market changes due to any reason, it is just an ordinary fluctuation. It will be clear where to enter the market and where to stop the loss.
Therefore, no matter what kind of situation we face, we only need to stick to our own trading system, manage our risks well, and leave the rest to the market.
Copyright reserved to the author
Last updated: 08/10/2023 09:00
In fact, this question is about how to deal with fundamental news. I personally think that we should try our best to avoid fundamental news to make orders, because our news is too late, and the market has already started to move after we know it. Besides, there are several bad points about fundamental news: (1) Fundamental analysis It is impossible to quantify the time interval during which basic data or information has an impact on market prices. (2) There is great ambiguity and unpredictability in fundamental analysis. (3) Not all price fluctuations are caused by fundamental factors.
Sometimes, the price rises steadily due to the continuous positive influence of fundamental factors, but when the price reaches a certain price, the closing operation of the long orders entered in the early stage is enough to cause a short-term sharp correction in the market price trend. At this time, although the overall upward pattern of the market remains intact, if some investors enter the market to do long near the peak before the price has a sharp correction, then in the margin market where investors do not have enough capital reserves, it is very likely that there will be a liquidation. Phenomenon. History has proved that liquidation is extremely painful.
Copyright reserved to the author
Last updated: 08/13/2023 17:37
There is a word called price in!
Whether it is the stock market or the foreign exchange market, when the price is at a high or low level, funds need to change hands to obtain chips from the low position or throw away chips from the high position. The news is the catalyst to stimulate the change of hands, so we often say a sentence: If it is good, take the money and run quickly; if the low position is bad, take the money and rush in.
Everything that is good is bad, and everything that is bad is good.
If the market is very hot, when the good news has reached your ears, it proves that the news has spread far, and the price has already been pushed up by people who heard the news earlier than you, and you have heard the good news. At that time, I felt that rushing in would make a profit, which happened to be convenient for those who raised the stock price in the early stage to ship.
The longer an important data/event is expected by the market in advance, the more likely it is to buy news and sell facts. On the contrary, it is the kind of sudden good/bad data or events, and the market will act according to the quality of the data before the market has time to react.
As for the best way to deal with it, it is actually better to wait and see. If you have to find a way to deal with it, then just place a two-way order. Because any market behavior of buying news and selling facts is often accompanied by unilateral market behavior, at least in most cases. You don't need to consider the direction of the two-way pending order, and the worries of buying news and selling facts are relieved. The only thing you need to consider is whether the market volatility is enough to support two-way pending orders, and whether you will be swept away by stop losses on both sides.
Copyright reserved to the author
Last updated: 08/08/2023 07:56