Chapter 1  基本面

通过对宏观经济、行业背景、公司经营能力、财务状况等等诸多方面的考察,以判断市场未来的走势的方法就是基本面的分析方法,基本面的分析方法是以内在价值为依据,着重于对影响证券价格以及走势的各项因素的分析来判断市场的买点和卖点。基本面的分析主要适用于周期相对比较长的市场、相对成熟的市场和对精确度要求不高的市场的预测。从本质上来说,基本面为市场行情提供了基本的方向指引。

举个例子,某一个产品达到的需求的旺季,大家就会预期这种产品价格会上涨。可用于评估多种交易工具,如股票、指数、货币和大宗商品。

一般包括三个方面内容:

1.宏观经济分析。研究经济政策(货币政策、财政政策、税收政策、产业政策等)、经济指标(国内生产总值、失业率、通胀率、利率、汇率等)对股票市场的影响;

2.行业分析。分析产业前景、区域经济发展对上市公司的影响;

3.公司分析。具体分析上市公司行业地位、市场前景、财务状况。

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