Chapter 1  长线分析

长线分析是每天交易前准备工作中必不可少的一部分,我需要对交易的品种近期总体的走势有一个概念,所以我通常先从周线图或者月线图开始分析。先看大背景下上涨趋势是否在延续,下跌趋势是否在延续,然后我再看日线图和分时图,观察市场中是否出现了供需不平衡,哪里是价值区间,哪里会存在大量的被动交易者。

每天开盘前我都先完成这些准备工作,因为这些支撑位和阻力位对我的日内交易至关重要。投资者总是关注短期市场趋势、经济报告、彭博资讯、C N B C新闻,他们很少会倾听市场本身在告诉我们什么。

有时候投资者眼光总是过于狭隘,总是关注价格和短期的某根K 线 ,而不是从更上层的角度观察市场,研究每天都出现的供需转换。退一步讲,将视线放在更大的时间周期上,就不会总是迷失在日内的赌涨赌跌,整天盯着同一个图表看同样的数据确实容易让人头昏脑涨。

有了宏观分析这个准备工作,我们能看出长期的支撑、阻力线,当市场逼近这些关键点位,我们已经做好了万全的准备。

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