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黄金每日分析

gold-qin
上周金价冲高回落,当周累跌约2.6%,终结此前四周连阳。早盘跳空低开,整体延续偏弱震荡。当前核心矛盾在于中东僵局推升能源通胀预期与全球主要央行按兵不动之间的博弈。 --- 一、基本面焦点 1. 地缘政治:美伊谈判陷入僵局,供应冲击持续 伊朗外长阿拉格齐周末先后穿梭于阿曼、巴基斯坦和俄罗斯,但仍未与美国代表会面,特朗普更直接取消了美方代表访问伊斯兰堡的行程。伊朗坚持"不接受被强加的谈判",美方则继续维持霍尔木兹海峡封锁与海上施加压力,双方互不相让导致地缘风险持续存在。 受此影响,国际油价继续维持高位,3月美国PCE通胀预期已被部分机构推升至3.5%左右。市场对通胀失控的担忧正逐渐盖过避险情绪——高油价正在催生比战争本身更令市场恐惧的顽固通胀幽灵。 2. 货币政策:本周迎"超级央行周",美联储大概率按兵不动 美联储将于本周三(4月29日)召开议息会议,这是鲍威尔任内的最后一次会议,市场普遍预期将维持利率不变。本次会议虽无点阵图和经济预测,但鲍威尔在新闻发布会上的措辞备受关注——年内降息预期当前已回落至不足40%,摩根大通更预测2026年全年不降息。此外,美联储主席提名人沃什近期在参议院听证
Trading Forex With Zi Cheng
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USDJPY BUY LIMIT ORDER

king_samuel
RFX Market Analysis
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