LIVE ANALYSIS ON GBPUSD 4th JULY 2025- Pengarang king

LIVE ANALYSIS ON GBPUSD 4th JULY 2025

RFX Market Analysis

king_samuel

H4: Market showed bullish BOS up to 1.3779 before a strong CHOCH indicating a shift to bearish structure. Price has now created a lower high after a lower low.

H1: Clean CHOCH after tapping premium supply. Structure forming lower highs and lower lows.

M15: Internal structure is bullish, possibly forming a liquidity grab before continuation downward — a pullback in bearish H1/H4 context.

Liquidity Zones

Sell-Side Liquidity:

Relative equal lows at 1.3403 (H4) – resting liquidity.

M15 has short-term lows under 1.3590 likely to be swept.

Order Blocks (OBs)

H4:

Bearish OB at 1.3734 – 1.3779 (with FVGs inside) that caused CHOCH.

Valid bullish OBs at 1.3403 and 1.3440 — unmitigated with price reactions.

H1:

Supply OB at 1.3680 – 1.3700 (already mitigated once).

Minor demand OBs between 1.3610 – 1.3635 (forming the current pullback base).

Buy-Side Liquidity:

Above 1.3680 – 1.3700, internal equal highs may act as inducement for entry into supply.

Entry Model Confluences

Current Setup Shows:

Mitigation of 1.3680–1.3700 OB.

Sweep of internal liquidity (equal highs).

Break of structure on M15 (potential bearish BOS) confirms internal weakness.

Perfect ICT-style sell model developing: liquidity sweep → OB mitigation → BOS.

GBP/USD - SELL Setup (Smart Money + ICT)

🔹 ENTRY: 1.3680 – 1.3700

🔹 SL: 1.3725 (45 pips)

🔹 TP1: 1.3610

🔹 TP2: 1.3405

Confluences:

- HTF Bearish CHOCH (H4/H1)

- M15 Liquidity Sweep + BOS

- OB + FVG mitigation

- Sell-side liquidity targets below

Trade Type: Swing/Intraday

Risk 0.5–1% max. Wait for M15 confirmation candle (BOS/engulfing).

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