Analysis on Gold - 10th July 2025

Chart Context (XAUUSD M15 - 10 July 2025)

Market Structure

Price is currently in a bullish sequence (higher highs and higher lows) after a strong break of structure (BOS) to the upside from the demand zone.

A clear CHoCH occurred before the move up, confirming the shift in intent.

Price is reacting to a refined M15 bullish order block (highlighted in blue).

Key SMC Zones

ENTRY ZONE 1 (High-Probability Buy Area)

Zone: 3310.20 – 3305.50

Type: Refined M15 Order Block (bullish)

Justification: Strong displacement from this zone, FVG present, and aligns with intraday POI

Trade Setup:

If price shows rejection (wick rejections or bullish engulfing) in this zone, expect long continuation.

Entry: 3307.00 (on confirmation)

Stop Loss: 3303.50

Take Profit Targets:

TP1: 3344.79 (first liquidity zone)

TP2: 3358.50 (major M15 + H1 supply)

ENTRY ZONE 2 (Mitigation + Aggressive Buy Zone)

Zone: 3290.75 – 3285.90

Type: H4 Demand Zone + Unmitigated OB

Justification: Last demand before the impulsive rally, optimal for deeper mitigation and re-accumulation

Trade Setup (Aggressive Buy):

Use only if Entry 1 fails with BOS against the trend.

Entry: 3288.00

Stop Loss: 3283.00

Take Profit:

TP1: 3315.00

TP2: 3344.79

TP3: 3358.00+

Alternate Scenario – Inversion Sell

If price breaks and closes below the blue OB (Entry Zone 1), wait for inversion OB retest and sell.

Entry: 3305.00 (on bearish rejection)

TP: 3290.75

SL: 3310.50

Risk: Only take if price shows strong bearish BOS + FVG break

Overall Confidence Rating: 92%

(with 0.01 spread + precision entry + confirmation-based execution)

Structure is bullish across M15 and H1

Fresh OBs with displacement and inducement

Volume and liquidity align for continuation