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MARKET ANALYSIS AND SIGNAL INSIGHT - V100 ( 27TH NOVEMBER 2025)

RFX Market Analysis
king_samuel





ASSET: V100

Higher-Timeframe View (H4)

Market Structure:

Price has made another lower high and continued downward → clear short-term bearish order flow.

Strong rejection from the 884 – 913 supply zone created a clean drop.

Price is now trading at 758 – 760, a previously-tested demand zone.

Key Levels:

Support / Demand: 758 – 760

Immediate Resistance: 815 – 820

Major Resistance: 868 – 884 (strong supply zone)

Conclusion:

We are inside a higher-timeframe bearish environment, but price is sitting on a reactive demand where a short-term bounce is likely.

Lower-Timeframe View (H1)

Observations:

Price tapped into H4 demand (758 – 760) and created a short-term wick rejection.

No proper break-of-structure upward yet.

Sellers have been in control, but are now hitting the last downside imbalance.

Probable Next Move:

A bounce toward 800 – 820 is likely, but continuation downward remains possible if 758 fails.

BEST PROBABILITY SETUP

Setup Type: Counter-trend Buy (High Risk but High R/R)

Reason: Price is resting inside a clean H4 demand with signs of rejection.

BUY SETUP

Entry: 758 – 763

Stop Loss: 740

Take Profit 1: 800

Take Profit 2: 820

Take Profit 3: 868 (if strong bullish momentum forms)

Confidence Rate: 75%

(Reason: Structure is bearish overall, but the H4 demand zone is strong and historically respected.)

Alternative Setup (Breakout Sell)

If price breaks below 740 with a clean candle close on H1:

Sell Entry: 738

SL: 765

TP1: 700

TP2: 675

TP3: 640

Confidence Rate: 85%

(Reason: A break of 740 invalidates the demand zone and confirms continuation of bearish trend.)


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Terakhir diedit pada 27/11/2025 10:38

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