H4: Market showed bullish BOS up to 1.3779 before a strong CHOCH indicating a shift to bearish structure. Price has now created a lower high after a lower low.
H1: Clean CHOCH after tapping premium supply. Structure forming lower highs and lower lows.
M15: Internal structure is bullish, possibly forming a liquidity grab before continuation downward — a pullback in bearish H1/H4 context.
Liquidity Zones
Sell-Side Liquidity:
Relative equal lows at 1.3403 (H4) – resting liquidity.
M15 has short-term lows under 1.3590 likely to be swept.
Order Blocks (OBs)
H4:
Bearish OB at 1.3734 – 1.3779 (with FVGs inside) that caused CHOCH.
Valid bullish OBs at 1.3403 and 1.3440 — unmitigated with price reactions.
H1:
Supply OB at 1.3680 – 1.3700 (already mitigated once).
Minor demand OBs between 1.3610 – 1.3635 (forming the current pullback base).
Buy-Side Liquidity:
Above 1.3680 – 1.3700, internal equal highs may act as inducement for entry into supply.
Entry Model Confluences
Current Setup Shows:
Mitigation of 1.3680–1.3700 OB.
Sweep of internal liquidity (equal highs).
Break of structure on M15 (potential bearish BOS) confirms internal weakness.
Perfect ICT-style sell model developing: liquidity sweep → OB mitigation → BOS.
GBP/USD - SELL Setup (Smart Money + ICT)
🔹 ENTRY: 1.3680 – 1.3700
🔹 SL: 1.3725 (45 pips)
🔹 TP1: 1.3610
🔹 TP2: 1.3405
Confluences:
- HTF Bearish CHOCH (H4/H1)
- M15 Liquidity Sweep + BOS
- OB + FVG mitigation
- Sell-side liquidity targets below
Trade Type: Swing/Intraday
Risk 0.5–1% max. Wait for M15 confirmation candle (BOS/engulfing).
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