1. H4 (High Timeframe) Market Structure Analysis
Market Bias: Bearish
Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed BOS at ~1.3655 after previous lower highs were maintained and lows were broken.
CHOCH: No bullish CHOCH yet – bearish structure is intact.
Liquidity Zones:
Sell-side liquidity (SSL):
Below 1.3550 – clean equal lows visible (attracting sell-side draw).
Buy-side liquidity (BSL):
Clustered above 1.3650 and 1.3680 (unmitigated supply and inefficient candles).
Order Blocks (OBs):
Valid H4 Supply OB: 1.3645 – 1.3670 (refined zone that broke structure and remains respected).
Demand OB (reactive): 1.3540 – 1.3555 (reacted multiple times but no strong CHOCH = not reliable for longs).
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs):
Bearish FVG: 1.3590 – 1.3620 (unfilled gap from previous bearish impulse).
2. H1 (Mid Timeframe) Structure
Market Bias: Bearish continuation
Break of Structure (BOS): Recent BOS from 1.3650 → 1.3570 confirms continuation.
CHOCH: No signs of reversal structure (CHoCH).
Liquidity Zones:
BSL: Above 1.3595 & 1.3620 (internal high + inefficient candle top).
SSL: Below 1.3555 (prior lows) and deeper near 1.3520 (imbalance tail).
Order Blocks (OBs):
Bearish OB: 1.3585 – 1.3605 (strong reaction level; price has wicked into this previously, but not fully mitigated).
FVGs:
H1 Bearish FVG: 1.3590 – 1.3618 (clean imbalance zone where price is likely to reverse from).
3. M15 (LTF Precision Entry)
Internal Structure: Bearish
Recent BOS: Bearish BOS after sweeping BSL at 1.3590.
Liquidity Sweeps:
Buy-side liquidity (above 1.3590) swept during quick spike.
Sell-side liquidity untouched below 1.3555 (target zone).
Refined OB:
1.3595 – 1.3605 (within the FVG; multiple candle rejections visible).
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Aligned with OB → 1.3590 – 1.3618
Perfect for high RR setups.
Trade Confluence Checklist
Confluence ✔️ Details
HTF Bias: Bearish (H4/H1)
M15 BOS: After liquidity sweep ✅
Liquidity Grab: BSL above 1.3590 swept ✅
FVG Alignment: FVG + OB overlap @ 1.3590–1.3618 ✅
OB Mitigation: Price tapped OB → rejected with BOS ✅
PREMIUM SIGNAL – USD/CAD SELL SETUP
PAIR: USD/CAD
DIRECTION: SELL
TIMEFRAME: M15 (HTF: H4/H1 Confirmed Bearish Bias)
ENTRY ZONE (Sell Limit):
1.3595 – 1.3605
→ Aligned with unmitigated OB + H1/H4 FVG + internal liquidity sweep.
STOP LOSS (SL):
1.3626
→ Just above internal high and full FVG fill – ideal invalidation.
TAKE PROFIT TARGETS:
TP1: 1.3555 – Equal lows / internal liquidity
TP2: 1.3520 – Deeper liquidity pool near unmitigated demand zone
Risk Management Advice
Risk 0.5–1% per trade.
Secure partial profits at TP1.
Trail stop above internal swing high after BOS confirms.
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