EURUSD PREMIUM SIGNAL ANALYSIS (H1 CHART) - July 10, 2025

Strategy: Smart Money Concepts (SMC)

Market Structure Overview

Current Bias: Bullish retracement/reversal setup

Previous Structure: Bearish flow recently broke short-term lows but failed to push further down

Shift in Momentum: Price has reacted strongly off a fresh bullish Order Block (OB), indicating possible CHoCH forming

Key Levels & SMC Zones

Entry Zone (Demand Zone)

Type: Bullish OB / Demand Block

Zone Range: 1.16950 – 1.17100

Confluence:

Clean bullish OB from previous low

Aligns with recent inefficiency and BOS

Mitigation of M15 imbalance and H1 OB zone

Entry Trigger: Look for bullish rejection, engulfing candle, or BOS on M15/M5 for confirmation

Supply Zone (Target Zone)

Type: H1-H4 Bearish OB (Refined Supply)

Zone Range: 1.17750 – 1.17900

Target Area: Potential TP zone or reversal sell zone if trend fails continuation

Entry & Execution Plan

Buy Entry: 1.1700 area inside OB (tight stop loss below OB low)

Confirmation: M5/M15 bullish structure shift or engulfing candle

SL: ~10–15 pips below OB (or recent wick low)

TP1: 1.17500 (pre-supply inefficiency)

TP2: 1.17800–1.17900 (main supply target)

Invalidation Level

Break below: 1.16850

Reason: Loss of OB structure → invalidates bullish setup

New Bias: Reassess for short setup if a BOS to the downside occurs and liquidity sweep is confirmed

Target Structure

TP1 (Safe Exit): 1.17500 — to reduce exposure before hitting supply

TP2 (Main): 1.17850 — retest of OB supply

Optional TP3: 1.18050 — if momentum confirms strong continuation

Confidence Rating: 8.3/10

Confluence of OB + imbalance fill

Liquidity resting above current price

Clear bullish shift from low liquidity zone

Price reaction suggests institutional interest