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Indonesia’s Policy Mix—A High-Stakes Balancing Act for a New Era

EBC

Bank Indonesia’s (BI) latest 25 basis point rate cut to 5.50% is more than a routine monetary move—it is a masterclass in high-stakes economic statesmanship. As Indonesia steps into the global spotlight with its entry into BRICS, the central bank is navigating a complex landscape where domestic growth ambitions, currency stability, and geopolitical realities intersect like never before. Stimulus vs. Stability: Walking the Tightrope The decision to cut rates comes as Indonesia’s first-quarter GDP

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FOMC JUNE 2025 RECAP — WHAT IT MEANS FOR USD & GOLD

king_samuel

Federal Reserve Holds Rates Steady at 4.25%–4.50% The Fed kept rates unchanged, but with a slightly dovish tone as projections signal a path toward rate cuts in 2026. Key Highlights: Inflation Cooling: PCE inflation expected to fall from 3.0% (2025) to 2.1% (2027). Core PCE also moderates, signaling progress toward the 2% target. Rate Cuts Ahead: Fed's median rate projections fall: ▸ 3.9% (2025) → 3.6% (2026) → 3.4% (2027) → 3.0% (long run) Growth & Labor: GDP growth revised lower to 1.4%, whil

RFX Market Analysis

Navigating Inflation, Dollar Weakness, and Asymmetric Risks—A View from the Front Lines

EBC

The latest US inflation data has reignited hopes for rate cuts and driven the dollar to multi-year lows. However, at EBC Financial Group, we urge investors to look beyond the headlines. Persistent core inflation, looming tariff effects, and central bank divergence signal a more complex and asymmetric risk landscape for global markets. Inflation Eases, but Core Pressures Remain The May US Consumer Price Index (CPI) offered a softer-than-expected headline, rising 2.4% year-on-year and just 0.1% mo

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