Discussions among the group EXCHANGE TRADING KNOWLEDGE

Gold continues to rise as geopolitical tensions continue to escalate

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Cities in southern Israel hit by rockets] December 26, as reported by Times of Israel on December 26, local time, rockets from the Gaza Strip hit the cities of Ashkelon and Sderot south of Israel that afternoon. . Witnesses said the Israeli army's "Iron Dome" air defense system intercepted several missiles. An air raid siren sounded in Ashkelon. There are currently no reports of casualties from the Israeli side. The war between Russia and Ukraine is also becoming increasingly tense at the end of

The war between Russia and Ukraine has not ended yet

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Russian Defense reported on the 12th that, according to local time, the Russian army repelled 8 attacks by the Ukrainian army in the directions of Kupiyansk, Bonliman, Donetsk, Zaporozhye and Kherson, destroying 7 armored vehicles and armored vehicles. of Ukraine. Russian air defense forces intercepted 2 missiles and 1 Dot-U missile launched by the Ukrainian army's multi-purpose rocket launch system "Hamas", and destroyed 23 Ukrainian drones. The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on t

The probability of raising interest rates by the FED is less than 1%.

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On Monday, U.S. Treasury yields gave up intraday gains following the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond auction, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closing at level 4.237%; Yields on two-year U.S. Treasury notes, which are more sensitive to the Fed's policy rate, closed at 4.71%. The US dollar index steadied above the 104 mark and last closed up 0.087% at 104.1. As hopes of the Bank of Japan ending negative interest rates in December evaporated, the yen fell more than 1% during the session. As invest

Will US interest rates continue to decrease?

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According to CME's "Fed Watch": The probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged in the 5.25%-5.50% range in December is 97.7%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 bps is 2.3%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged until February next year is 85.9%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 bps is 12.1% and the probability of a cumulative interest rate increase of 25 bps is 2%. US 10-year bond interest rates are also falling

GBPUSD increased sharply when there was a divergence

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GBPUSD has a divergence between the price and the two indicators MACD and RSI The bottoms of the MACD and RSI increase gradually lower, while the bottom of the price increases gradually The price has increased after the accumulation phase. We can look at strong buying momentum here, and the price has actually increased

GOLD STILL HAS MOMENT TO RISE

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Gold rose rapidly to $2,000 during the day The uptrend is still continuing, with the recent unfavorable data of the dollar, the rise of Gold is still very positive, currently the FOMC meeting has not caused bond interest rates to fluctuate much. But expectations of the FED cutting interest rates are very positive, as evidenced by the fact that US 10-year interest rates are creating a downward trend. Yesterday, the gold price hit the resistance level of $2008, then corrected downward. The current

The 10-year US bond yield did not change much during the FPMC meeting

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Federal Reserve meeting minutes indicated that the Federal Reserve will maintain restrictive policies for a long time, the US dollar index stopped falling and fell to 103.17 during the session, a low new as of August 31 . US bond yields have fallen. 10-year US Treasury bond yield fell to 4.398%; Yields on two-year U.S. Treasury notes, which are more sensitive to the Federal Reserve's policy rate, failed to exceed 4.9% and eventually closed at 4.883%.

Investors are considering whether the FED will cut interest rates

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With recent data including CPI and PPI, it is being seen that the Fed does not have too much room to operate. Employment data is also a concern for the FED. The worsening of employment data shows that raising interest rates has had a negative impact on the economy. The US 10-year bond yield is falling to 4.44%. That suggests there may be an upcoming interest rate cut

Gold prices rose well after US CPI data

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Lower-than-expected inflation data sent the US dollar index to a new low in more than two months, making gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. The 10-year US Treasury yield fell to a nearly two-month low According to the Chicago Mercantile Exchange's FedWatch tool, U.S. interest rate futures on Tuesday put the probability of a rate cut next May at 65%, compared with 34% late Monday. In the 12 months through October, the CPI rose 3.2% and 3.7% in September, respectively. Economists interv

October CPI

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Investment organizations predict US core CPI (Y/Y) in October Reuters : +4.1%; Goldman Sachs Group: +4.1%; HSBC Holdings: +4.1%; Danske Bank: +4.1%; ING: +4.1%; JPMorgan Chase: +4.1%; Royal Bank of Canada: +4.1%; Scotiabank: +4.1%; Jefferies Group: +4.1%; Societe Generale: +4.1%; Standard Chartered: +4.1%; UniCredit: +4.1%; Wells Fargo: +4.1%; Morgan Stanley: +4.1%; BNP Paribas: +4.2%; Bank of America: +4.2%; Citigroup: +4.2%; Nomura: +4.2%; Barclays: +4.2%; TD Securities: +4.2%.

Israel accepts a 4-hour daily ceasefire in northern Gaza

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The White House said Israel began a four-hour daily ceasefire in the northern Gaza Strip so people could leave the war zone. "Israel has informed us that there will be no military activity in these areas during the ceasefire period. We understand Israel will begin implementing daily four-hour ceasefires in northern Gaza. They will notify three hours before each implementation of this order," US National Security Council spokesman John Kirby said on November 9. According to Mr. Kirby, the decisio

Latest developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict

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Conflict situation: 1. Secretary of the Russian Security Council Patrushev: Ukraine plotted to attack 3 Russian nuclear power plants. 2. Ministry of Energy of Ukraine: Russia has attacked Ukraine's energy infrastructure 60 times with different types of weapons in recent weeks. 3. Ukrainian military intelligence: Conducted a campaign to assassinate Russian-backed parliamentarians in the occupied Luhansk region. 4. Ukrainian MP: Ukraine will extend martial law and mobilization for 90 days. 5. A R

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari: The Fed will take more measures on interest rates if necessary.

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Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari: The Fed will take more measures on interest rates if necessary. FOMC does not discuss interest rate cuts. Chicago Fed President Goolsby: If long-term Treasury yields remain high, that could be equivalent to tightening policy, and the top priority in changing the interest rate stance is inflation developments ; Fed Governor Bowman: Still expect further interest rate increases to be necessary. Fed President Dallas Logan: Inflation remains too high and data

Important events of today

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14:00 Germany's October CPI (m/m). 14:45 French September trade accounts 16:30 Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks 17:00 Retail sales (m/m) in Eurozone in September 21:15 Fed Chairman Powell speaks at the event 21:30 EIA will not release crude oil inventory reports this week 22:00 Wholesale rate (m/m) in the US in September

EUR/USD is correcting and has a BUY trading point

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EUR/USD is having a correction after a strong increase, currently NFP data has supported non-dollar assets, including EUR, currently everyone sees the price of EUR/USD has increased sharply, the wave has gone and there is no return yet, this week we expect there will be a correction to have a buying zone At this time we are in a BUY position, this support zone is also a potential recovery zone for the price. In the M30 time frame, SMC also has a strong bottom zone, it also partly supports the po

AUSTRALIAN BANK INCREASES ADDITIONAL 0.25% BASE POINTS

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The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.35%, marking the first rate increase since June and reaching its highest level since November 2011, in line with the market consensus Reserve Bank of Australia: Council determined to bring inflation to target, Wage growth has accelerated over the past year but remains in line with the inflation target, provided productivity growth accelerates. To date, medium-term inflation expectations remain in line with the inflation t

Most members of the Japanese bank believe that there is no need to further adjust the yield curve control policy

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Minutes of the meeting released by the Bank of Japan on Monday showed that most members of the Bank of Japan believed there was no need to further adjust the yield curve control policy and agreed to continue applying the policy. loose monetary policy to achieve inflation and wage growth targets. Last Tuesday, the Bank of Japan once again adjusted its bond interest rate control policy, further loosening its control of long-term interest rates and taking another small step toward ending its massiv

Israel and Hamas are still negotiating

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Since a new round of conflict broke out between Palestine and Israel on October 7, Qatar has continued to mediate, hoping to cool down the situation and achieve a ceasefire, ending the war as soon as possible. Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesman Ansari said in an exclusive interview on November 2 that the Israel Defense Forces' military operations against the Gaza Strip continue to escalate, causing Qatar's diplomatic efforts to escalate. to mediate the release of detainees becomes more difficult

FED keeps interest rates unchanged, dollar loses momentum

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Yesterday, Powell gave a speech and said that interest rates could continue to rise. But the market does not have much confidence in his views US Treasury yields fell as the market believed that the Federal Reserve had stopped raising interest rates.

XAUUSD still has a chance to Buy even though the price is high

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XAUUSD has given a short-term SELL point, but the long-term trend is still BUY, the potential Buy zone falls in the 1990-1992 $ area